CLEVELANDCLE
62-66 · +3 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 4-6 L10
@FRI 8:40 PM ETCOL HOME PARK
50-77 · +5 NL WEST · L3 · 4-6 L10
COLORADOCOL
Weather
94°F · 13mph in from CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Joey Cantillo
LHP · CLEPROBABLE
STUFF+97
ERA
3.80
IP
125.2
K/9
9.9
BB/9
4.2
WHIP
1.44
L5 STARTS4.22 ERA · 31% K · 8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
27%
25%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSliderCutter
Tanner Gordon
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+86
ERA
5.55
IP
71.1
K/9
7.8
BB/9
1.6
WHIP
1.44
L5 STARTS3.55 ERA · 17.9% K · 2.4% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
27%
21%
9%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupCurveball
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 62%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CLE COL

Game Markets

CLE @ COL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

62%

1st 5 Innings

COL F5

36%

Game Total

Over 8.5

70%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

66%

Run Line

COL -1.5

25%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

66%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

48%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore COL by 1.77 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CLE 6.52, COL 4.76
  • Joey Cantillo (CLE) vs Tanner Gordon (COL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JC

Joey Cantillo

CLE SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

73%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

56%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

11%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

51%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

10%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

48%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

34%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.9 strikeouts
  • 73% to reach 5+ against COL
TG

Tanner Gordon

COL SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

37%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

9%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

63%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

50%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 23% to reach 5+ against CLE

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

JOEY CANTILLO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%27.9%OPS-against.763
vs Left-handedK%18.5%OPS-against.708
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.758K%21.8%

TANNER GORDON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%17.9%OPS-against.809
vs Left-handedK%21.5%OPS-against.960
CLE vs LHP (team)OPS.670K%22.2%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

COL BATTERS vs JOEY CANTILLO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CLE BATTERS vs TANNER GORDON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CLE 0·COL 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CLE 1·COL 1
2 played · 17 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%CLE
CLE 28 · COL 25 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-03-08COL 4-4
2026-03-01CLE 8-3
2025-07-30CLE 5-0
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

CLE OFFENSE

.301L15 team wOBA
-15 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

COL OFFENSE

.312L15 team wOBA
-4 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
ENVIRONMENT94° · 13mph in from CF
COORS FIELD
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.18 · +
Doubles factor1.18 · +

Altitude — extreme run environment.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
94°F
Wind13 mph in from CF
Humidity13%
Rain6%

Wind in from CF · HR headwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO