CINCINNATICIN
61-67 · +5 NL CENTRAL · L1 · 4-6 L10
@2026-08-21ARI HOME PARK
ARIZONAARI
Weather
112°F · 9mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDiamondbacks 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CIN ARI

Game Markets

CIN @ ARI · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

ARI to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

ARI F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

60%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

64%

Run Line

ARI -1.5

39%

Team Total

CIN Over 4.5

48%

Team Total

ARI Over 4.5

53%

THE READ

ARI projects to outscore CIN by 0.36 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CIN 4.87, ARI 5.23
  • Nick Lodolo (CIN) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
NL

Nick Lodolo

CIN SP · vs. ARI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

68%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

13%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

65%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

52%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 31% to reach 5+ against ARI
ER

Eduardo Rodriguez

ARI SP · vs. CIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

67%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

74%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

61%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 30% to reach 5+ against CIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

ARI vs LHP (team)OPS.785K%17.7%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CIN vs RHP (team)OPS.683K%25.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

ARI BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CIN BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CIN 0·ARI 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CIN 2·ARI 0
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
100%CIN
CIN 66 · ARI 0 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-06-14AZ 5-3
2026-06-13CIN 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-06-12AZ 5-2
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

CIN OFFENSE

.265L15 team wOBA
-51 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

ARI OFFENSE

.327L15 team wOBA
+11 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT112° · 9mph out to RF
CHASE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.02 · neutral
Doubles factor1.05 · +

Slight offensive tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
112°F
Wind9 mph out to RF
Humidity13%
Rain1%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

DIAMONDBACKS 55%

Mean score sim 4.95.2 · projected total 10.1 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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