BETFLYAISIGN IN
ST. LOUISSTL
65-63 · +3 NL CENTRAL · L1 · 6-4 L10
@THU 12:40 PM ETCIN HOME PARK
61-66 · +5 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 5-5 L10
CINCINNATICIN
Weather
76°F · 4mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
5-game set · 2-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Michael McGreevy
RHP · STLPROBABLE
STUFF+81
ERA
3.48
IP
132.0
K/9
6.2
BB/9
2.3
WHIP
1.22
L5 STARTS6.37 ERA · 18% K · 9% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
21%
17%
11%
11%
10%
4-Seam FastballChangeupSinkerCutterCurveballSweeperSlider
Brady Singer
RHP · CINPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
4.66
IP
125.2
K/9
7.5
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.44
L5 STARTS5.09 ERA · 17.1% K · 8.5% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
47%
30%
12%
SinkerSliderSweeperCutter
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETReds 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

STL CIN

Game Markets

STL @ CIN · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

STL to win

48%

1st 5 Innings

CIN F5

46%

Game Total

Over 8.5

69%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

68%

Run Line

CIN -1.5

37%

Team Total

STL Over 4.5

57%

Team Total

CIN Over 4.5

58%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 11.20 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: STL 5.62, CIN 5.58
  • Michael McGreevy (STL) vs Brady Singer (CIN)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MM

Michael McGreevy

STL SP · vs. CIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

83%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

36%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

77%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

65%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 17% to reach 5+ against CIN
BS

Brady Singer

CIN SP · vs. STL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

84%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

38%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

72%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

59%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.3 strikeouts
  • 44% to reach 5+ against STL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

MICHAEL MCGREEVY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%19.9%OPS-against.685
vs Left-handedK%15.2%OPS-against.745
CIN vs RHP (team)OPS.683K%25.6%

BRADY SINGER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how STL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.7%OPS-against.699
vs Left-handedK%20.8%OPS-against.872
STL vs RHP (team)OPS.697K%21.4%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CIN BATTERS vs MICHAEL MCGREEVY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

STL BATTERS vs BRADY SINGER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
STL 2·CIN 2
5-game set · gm 5 of 5
2026 SEASON
STL 7·CIN 7
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%STL
STL 163 · CIN 126 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-19CIN 5-4 · One-run game
2026-08-18STL 3-0 · Pitchers duel
2026-08-17CIN 6-5 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

STL OFFENSE

.313L15 team wOBA
-3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

CIN OFFENSE

.260L15 team wOBA
-56 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT76° · 4mph in from CF
GREAT AMERICAN BALL PARK
118HR
HR factor1.18 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

League’s hottest HR park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
76°F
Wind4 mph in from CF
Humidity81%
Rain16%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO