BETFLYAISIGN IN
SEATTLESEA
60-67 · +3 AL WEST · W1 · 4-6 L10
@THU 2:10 PM ETMIL HOME PARK
78-49 · +1 NL CENTRAL · L1 · 5-5 L10
MILWAUKEEMIL
Weather
76°F · 7mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
George Kirby
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+102
ERA
3.89
IP
136.2
K/9
7.5
BB/9
2.0
WHIP
1.31
L5 STARTS4.47 ERA · 14.4% K · 6.3% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
29%
21%
10%
Sweeper4-Seam FastballSinkerCurveballChangeupCutter
Robert Gasser
LHP · MILPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
4.54
IP
73.1
K/9
8.3
BB/9
2.3
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS3.42 ERA · 22.1% K · 4.4% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
28%
26%
23%
16%
SweeperSinker4-Seam FastballCutterChangeup
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBrewers 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA MIL

Game Markets

SEA @ MIL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIL to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

MIL F5

44%

Game Total

Over 8.5

49%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

MIL -1.5

37%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

42%

Team Total

MIL Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.87 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: SEA 4.32, MIL 4.55
  • George Kirby (SEA) vs Robert Gasser (MIL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GK

George Kirby

SEA SP · vs. MIL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

62%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

73%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

60%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.1 strikeouts
  • 40% to reach 5+ against MIL
RG

Robert Gasser

MIL SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

85%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

30%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

60%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

46%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.1 strikeouts
  • 40% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

GEORGE KIRBY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIL hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%22.5%OPS-against.739
vs Left-handedK%17.9%OPS-against.774
MIL vs LHP (team)OPS.696K%22.1%

ROBERT GASSER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%19.3%OPS-against.843
vs Left-handedK%27.1%OPS-against.589
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.707K%22.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

MIL BATTERS vs GEORGE KIRBY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs ROBERT GASSER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 1·MIL 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 2·MIL 2
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%SEA
SEA 30 · MIL 26 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-19SEA 7-5
2026-08-18MIL 22-0 · Blowout
2026-03-18SEA 7-3
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.295L15 team wOBA
-21 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

MIL OFFENSE

.313L15 team wOBA
-3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT76° · 7mph out to LF
AMERICAN FAMILY FIELD
108HR
HR factor1.08 · +
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

HR-friendly with roof closed.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
76°F
Wind7 mph out to LF
Humidity53%
Rain0%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO