BETFLYAISIGN IN
WASHINGTONWSH
60-67 · +4 NL EAST · L4 · 4-6 L10
@WED 8:05 PM ETTEX HOME PARK
62-64 · +2 AL WEST · W1 · 4-6 L10
TEXASTEX
Weather
102°F · 11mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Cade Cavalli
RHP · WSHPROBABLE
STUFF+103
ERA
3.36
IP
136.2
K/9
9.9
BB/9
2.7
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS1.97 ERA · 25.8% K · 7.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
35%
28%
16%
11%
8%
4-Seam FastballCurveballSinkerSweeperChangeup
Kumar Rocker
RHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
4.50
IP
116.0
K/9
8.2
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.40
L5 STARTS4.98 ERA · 22.4% K · 11.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
38%
31%
14%
12%
SliderSinkerCutter4-Seam FastballChangeup
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRangers 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

WSH TEX

Game Markets

WSH @ TEX · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

WSH to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

TEX F5

40%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

TEX -1.5

33%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

46%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 9.15 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: WSH 4.67, TEX 4.47
  • Cade Cavalli (WSH) vs Kumar Rocker (TEX)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CC

Cade Cavalli

WSH SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

64%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

56%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

13%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

36%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.3 strikeouts
  • 64% to reach 5+ against TEX
KR

Kumar Rocker

TEX SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

61%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

30%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.6 strikeouts
  • 48% to reach 5+ against WSH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

CADE CAVALLI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%27.4%OPS-against.622
vs Left-handedK%25.2%OPS-against.737
TEX vs RHP (team)OPS.701K%22.2%

KUMAR ROCKER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%20.9%OPS-against.626
vs Left-handedK%21.0%OPS-against.858
WSH vs RHP (team)OPS.752K%20.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

TEX BATTERS vs CADE CAVALLI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

WSH BATTERS vs KUMAR ROCKER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
WSH 0·TEX 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
WSH 0·TEX 1
1 played · 18 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
58%TEX
WSH 8 · TEX 11 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-19TEX 5-0
2025-06-08TEX 4-2
2025-06-07TEX 5-0
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

WSH OFFENSE

.301L15 team wOBA
-15 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

TEX OFFENSE

.280L15 team wOBA
-36 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT102° · 11mph out to CF
GLOBE LIFE FIELD
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral with roof.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
102°F
Wind11 mph out to CF
Humidity26%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

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