BETFLYAISIGN IN
SAN DIEGOSD
68-59 · +2 NL WEST · W1 · 8-2 L10
@WED 1:10 PM ETNYM HOME PARK
57-70 · +5 NL EAST · L1 · 6-4 L10
NEW YORKNYM
Weather
87°F · 7mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Michael King
RHP · SDPROBABLE
STUFF+95
ERA
3.41
IP
142.1
K/9
7.8
BB/9
3.5
WHIP
1.19
L5 STARTS3.72 ERA · 23.1% K · 9.1% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
27%
19%
19%
SinkerChangeupSweeper4-Seam FastballSlider
Robert Stock
RHP · NYMPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
6.57
IP
12.1
K/9
9.5
BB/9
5.8
WHIP
1.86
L5 STARTS6.69 ERA · 21% K · 12.9% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMets 50%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SD NYM

Game Markets

SD @ NYM · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SD to win

50%

1st 5 Innings

NYM F5

41%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

NYM -1.5

33%

Team Total

SD Over 4.5

46%

Team Total

NYM Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

SD projects to outscore NYM by 0.31 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SD 4.73, NYM 4.42
  • Michael King (SD) vs Robert Stock (NYM)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MK

Michael King

SD SP · vs. NYM

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

50%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

88%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

22%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

44%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.6 strikeouts
  • 50% to reach 5+ against NYM
RS

Robert Stock

NYM SP · vs. SD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

19%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

28%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.1 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.1 strikeouts
  • 20% to reach 5+ against SD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

MICHAEL KING SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYM hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%23.7%OPS-against.673
vs Left-handedK%19.7%OPS-against.650
NYM vs RHP (team)OPS.693K%22.5%

ROBERT STOCK SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%5.6%OPS-against.764
vs Left-handedK%27.3%OPS-against.853
SD vs RHP (team)OPS.711K%21.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

NYM BATTERS vs MICHAEL KING

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SD BATTERS vs ROBERT STOCK

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SD 1·NYM 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
SD 2·NYM 3
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%NYM
SD 51 · NYM 55 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-18SD 5-2
2026-08-17NYM 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-06-07NYM 7-3
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

SD OFFENSE

.325L15 team wOBA
+9 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

NYM OFFENSE

.324L15 team wOBA
+8 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT87° · 7mph out to CF
CITI FIELD
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.95 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Deep OF, dead air.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
87°F
Wind7 mph out to CF
Humidity39%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO