BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAD
76-51 · +1 NL WEST · W2 · 6-4 L10
@WED 8:40 PM ETCOL HOME PARK
50-76 · +5 NL WEST · L2 · 5-5 L10
COLORADOCOL
Weather
90°F · 8mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 2-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Roki Sasaki
RHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
4.46
IP
111.0
K/9
8.8
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.29
L5 STARTS2.15 ERA · 23.5% K · 10.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
43%
35%
22%
4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSlider
Kyle Freeland
LHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+91
ERA
6.27
IP
120.2
K/9
7.3
BB/9
2.0
WHIP
1.44
L5 STARTS3.35 ERA · 14.2% K · 6.7% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
22%
21%
15%
12%
4-Seam FastballCurveballCutterChangeupSweeperSinker
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 65%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAD COL

Game Markets

LAD @ COL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

65%

1st 5 Innings

COL F5

34%

Game Total

Over 8.5

71%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

66%

Run Line

COL -1.5

23%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

69%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore COL by 1.99 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 6.75, COL 4.76
  • Roki Sasaki (LAD) vs Kyle Freeland (COL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
RS

Roki Sasaki

LAD SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

64%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

16%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

43%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

63%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.4 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.4 strikeouts
  • 81% to reach 5+ against COL
KF

Kyle Freeland

COL SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

69%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

48%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

77%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

67%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.8 strikeouts
  • 34% to reach 5+ against LAD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ROKI SASAKI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%22.4%OPS-against.830
vs Left-handedK%23.3%OPS-against.728
COL vs LHP (team)OPS.704K%24.7%

KYLE FREELAND SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%17.4%OPS-against.909
vs Left-handedK%20.5%OPS-against.720
LAD vs RHP (team)OPS.774K%20.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

COL BATTERS vs ROKI SASAKI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs KYLE FREELAND

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 2·COL 0
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 10·COL 4
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
63%LAD
LAD 203 · COL 118 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-19LAD 7-6 · One-run game
2026-08-18LAD 11-5 · Blowout
2026-07-09LAD 4-3 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.305L15 team wOBA
-11 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

COL OFFENSE

.316L15 team wOBA
0 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT90° · 8mph in from CF
COORS FIELD
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.18 · +
Doubles factor1.18 · +

Altitude — extreme run environment.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
90°F
Wind8 mph in from CF
Humidity18%
Rain5%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO