BETFLYAISIGN IN
CHICAGOCWS
65-60 · +1 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 6-4 L10
@WED 2:20 PM ETCHC HOME PARK
74-53 · +2 NL CENTRAL · W2 · 6-4 L10
CHICAGOCHC
Weather
72°F · 6mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Sean Newcomb
LHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+107
ERA
2.51
IP
68.0
K/9
8.5
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.10
L5 STARTS0.00 ERA · 29.2% K · 12.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
35%
33%
25%
4-Seam FastballSlurveSinkerChangeup
Clay Holmes
RHP · CHCPROBABLE
STUFF+101
ERA
2.56
IP
63.1
K/9
7.0
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.07
L5 STARTS3.85 ERA · 21.2% K · 8.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
51%
19%
15%
9%
SinkerSweeperChangeupCurveballCutter
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETWhite Sox 50%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS CHC

Game Markets

CWS @ CHC · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

50%

1st 5 Innings

CHC F5

42%

Game Total

Over 8.5

57%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

56%

Run Line

CHC -1.5

34%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

51%

Team Total

CHC Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

CWS projects to outscore CHC by 0.32 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CWS 5.03, CHC 4.71
  • Sean Newcomb (CWS) vs Clay Holmes (CHC)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SN

Sean Newcomb

CWS SP · vs. CHC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

43%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

52%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

16%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

53%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

40%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.3 strikeouts
  • 43% to reach 5+ against CHC
CH

Clay Holmes

CHC SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

79%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

46%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

69%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

56%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 30% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

SEAN NEWCOMB SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CHC hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.1%OPS-against.564
vs Left-handedK%22.0%OPS-against.637
CHC vs RHP (team)OPS.740K%21.7%

CLAY HOLMES SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%23.6%OPS-against.476
vs Left-handedK%19.0%OPS-against.634
CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.729K%24.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CHC BATTERS vs SEAN NEWCOMB

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs CLAY HOLMES

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 0·CHC 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
CWS 5·CHC 3
8 played · 11 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%CHC
CWS 61 · CHC 69 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-19CHC 4-3 · One-run game
2026-08-18CHC 7-5
2026-05-17CWS 9-8 · Slugfest
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.338L15 team wOBA
+22 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

CHC OFFENSE

.341L15 team wOBA
+25 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
— ENVIRONMENT72° · 6mph in from CF
WRIGLEY FIELD
95HR
HR factor0.95 · below avg
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Wind-dependent — check gametime.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
72°F
Wind6 mph in from CF
Humidity83%
Rain1%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO