WASHINGTONWSH
60-66 · +4 NL EAST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@TUE 8:05 PM ETTEX HOME PARK
61-64 · +2 AL WEST · L1 · 4-6 L10
TEXASTEX
Weather
102°F · 10mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Jackson Kent
LHP · WSHPROBABLE
STUFF+
ERA
6.75
IP
4.0
K/9
13.5
BB/9
11.3
WHIP
2.00
L5 STARTS6.75 ERA · 31.6% K · 26.3% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Cal Quantrill
RHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
3.44
IP
70.2
K/9
6.2
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.20
L5 STARTS2.24 ERA · 22% K · 9.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
28%
19%
19%
CutterSinker4-Seam FastballSplit-Finger
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETNationals 50%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

WSH TEX

Game Markets

WSH @ TEX · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

WSH to win

50%

1st 5 Innings

TEX F5

39%

Game Total

Over 8.5

60%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

61%

Run Line

TEX -1.5

33%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

54%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

49%

THE READ

WSH projects to outscore TEX by 0.39 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: WSH 5.25, TEX 4.86
  • Jackson Kent (WSH) vs Cal Quantrill (TEX)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JK

Jackson Kent

WSH SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

50%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

10%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

23%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

14%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.7 strikeouts
  • 50% to reach 5+ against TEX
CQ

Cal Quantrill

TEX SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

82%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

48%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

72%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

60%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.2 strikeouts
  • 21% to reach 5+ against WSH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

JACKSON KENT SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%21.4%OPS-against.540
vs Left-handedK%60.0%OPS-against.100
TEX vs RHP (team)OPS.702K%22.1%

CAL QUANTRILL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%11.3%OPS-against.554
vs Left-handedK%20.6%OPS-against.765
WSH vs LHP (team)OPS.784K%23.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

TEX BATTERS vs JACKSON KENT

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

WSH BATTERS vs CAL QUANTRILL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
WSH 0·TEX 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
WSH 0·TEX 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%TEX
WSH 8 · TEX 10 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-06-08TEX 4-2
2025-06-07TEX 5-0
2025-06-06WSH 2-0 · Pitchers duel
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

WSH OFFENSE

.299L15 team wOBA
-17 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

TEX OFFENSE

.275L15 team wOBA
-41 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT102° · 10mph out to CF
GLOBE LIFE FIELD
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral with roof.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
102°F
Wind10 mph out to CF
Humidity22%
Rain1%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO