BETFLYAISIGN IN
SAN FRANCISCOSF
51-73 · +4 NL WEST · L1 · 3-7 L10
@TUE 6:40 PM ETCLE HOME PARK
60-65 · +4 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 3-7 L10
CLEVELANDCLE
Weather
79°F · 8mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Carson Whisenhunt
LHP · SFPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
6.11
IP
28.0
K/9
7.1
BB/9
5.8
WHIP
1.71
L5 STARTS7.08 ERA · 18.7% K · 15% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
39%
Changeup
Foster Griffin
LHP · CLEPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.25
IP
138.1
K/9
8.1
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
1.11
L5 STARTS5.27 ERA · 13.2% K · 5.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
32%
17%
15%
11%
10%
10%
Cutter4-Seam FastballSweeperCurveballChangeupSinkerSplit-Finger
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Foster Griffin · Under 5.5 <6 Pitcher Ks

engine edge vs Kalshi pitcher strikeouts

— Kalshi53% book31% +16pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 59%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SF CLE

Game Markets

SF @ CLE · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

59%

1st 5 Innings

CLE F5

51%

Game Total

Over 8.5

47%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

54%

Run Line

CLE -1.5

41%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

37%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore SF by 0.70 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SF 3.98, CLE 4.68
  • Carson Whisenhunt (SF) vs Foster Griffin (CLE)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CW

Carson Whisenhunt

SF SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

34%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

9%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

46%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

34%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 29% to reach 5+ against CLE
FG

Foster Griffin

CLE SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

49%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

78%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

44%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.6 strikeouts
  • 49% to reach 5+ against SF

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

CARSON WHISENHUNT SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%18.0%OPS-against.903
vs Left-handedK%13.3%OPS-against.510
CLE vs LHP (team)OPS.663K%22.6%

FOSTER GRIFFIN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%19.6%OPS-against.690
vs Left-handedK%29.1%OPS-against.590
SF vs LHP (team)OPS.668K%22.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CLE BATTERS vs CARSON WHISENHUNT

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SF BATTERS vs FOSTER GRIFFIN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SF 0·CLE 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
SF 2·CLE 0
2 played · 17 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
62%SF
SF 34 · CLE 21 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-03-21SF 10-7 · Slugfest
2026-03-10SF 5-4 · One-run game
2025-06-19SF 2-1 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

SF OFFENSE

.265L15 team wOBA
-51 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CLE OFFENSE

.305L15 team wOBA
-11 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT79° · 8mph out to RF
PROGRESSIVE FIELD
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Pitcher-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
79°F
Wind8 mph out to RF
Humidity51%
Rain1%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

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