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25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
NYY @ BAL · full-game reads
Moneyline
NYY to win
51%
1st 5 Innings
BAL F5
41%
Game Total
Over 8.5
49%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
52%
Run Line
BAL -1.5
32%
Team Total
NYY Over 4.5
45%
Team Total
BAL Over 4.5
41%
THE READ
NYY projects to outscore BAL by 0.26 runs across 5,000 trials.
NYY SP · vs. BAL
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
79%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
63%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
45%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
27%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
15%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
96%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
39%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
56%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
42%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.3 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
BAL SP · vs. NYY
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
43%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
27%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
15%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
7%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
3%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
72%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
49%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
62%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
51%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how BAL hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits LHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).
Post-2022 wall changes suppress LH HR.
Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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