BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAD
75-51 · +1 NL WEST · W1 · 6-4 L10
@TUE 8:40 PM ETCOL HOME PARK
50-75 · +5 NL WEST · L1 · 5-5 L10
COLORADOCOL
Weather
88°F · 9mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Eric Lauer
LHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+88
ERA
4.67
IP
98.1
K/9
5.8
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS4.30 ERA · 16.2% K · 5.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
45%
19%
16%
13%
4-Seam FastballCutterChangeupCurveballSlider
Ryan Feltner
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
5.59
IP
87.0
K/9
6.3
BB/9
3.7
WHIP
1.49
L5 STARTS8.53 ERA · 12.2% K · 10.4% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
26%
15%
13%
11%
8%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupSinkerSweeperCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS6 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · GAME MARKETS

Los Angeles Dodgers (F5) · f5_winner

LAD side despite tougher matchup — lineup edge

— Kalshi39% book55% +16pp

Under 4.5 (F5) · f5_total

under edge from the run-rate model in F5

— Kalshi37% book51% +14pp

LAD4 · spread

LAD side despite tougher matchup — lineup edge

— Kalshi43% book55% +12pp

LAD3 · spread

LAD side despite tougher matchup — lineup edge

— Kalshi52% book64% +12pp

Under 5.5 (F5) · f5_total

under edge from the run-rate model in F5

— Kalshi50% book59% +9pp

Los Angeles Dodgers · moneyline

LAD side despite tougher matchup — lineup edge

— Kalshi29% book37% +8pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAD COL

Game Markets

LAD @ COL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

COL F5

43%

Game Total

Over 8.5

80%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

79%

Run Line

COL -1.5

34%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

71%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

64%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore COL by 0.76 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 7.01, COL 6.25
  • Eric Lauer (LAD) vs Ryan Feltner (COL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
EL

Eric Lauer

LAD SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

93%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

59%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

83%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

74%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 19% to reach 5+ against COL
RF

Ryan Feltner

COL SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

60%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

5%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

73%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

61%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.2 strikeouts
  • 21% to reach 5+ against LAD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ERIC LAUER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%11.8%OPS-against.663
vs Left-handedK%22.4%OPS-against.774
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.758K%21.6%

RYAN FELTNER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%16.1%OPS-against.871
vs Left-handedK%15.8%OPS-against.845
LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.746K%20.1%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

COL BATTERS vs ERIC LAUER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs RYAN FELTNER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 1·COL 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 9·COL 4
13 played · 6 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
63%LAD
LAD 202 · COL 118 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-18LAD 11-5 · Blowout
2026-07-09LAD 4-3 · One-run game
2026-07-08COL 4-3 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.300L15 team wOBA
-16 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

COL OFFENSE

.326L15 team wOBA
+10 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT88° · 9mph out to LF
COORS FIELD
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.18 · +
Doubles factor1.18 · +

Altitude — extreme run environment.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
88°F
Wind9 mph out to LF
Humidity19%
Rain7%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO