BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAD
74-51 · +1 NL WEST · L2 · 5-5 L10
@MON 8:40 PM ETCOL HOME PARK
50-74 · +5 NL WEST · W1 · 5-5 L10
COLORADOCOL
Weather
93°F · 7mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Blake Snell
LHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
5.00
IP
9.0
K/9
15.0
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.33
L5 STARTS5.00 ERA · 37.5% K · 7.5% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Tomoyuki Sugano
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+81
ERA
4.43
IP
113.2
K/9
5.2
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
1.25
L5 STARTS3.49 ERA · 15.5% K · 2.6% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
22%
20%
19%
11%
11%
10%
4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSinkerSliderSweeperCutterCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · GAME MARKETS

Los Angeles Dodgers · moneyline

Snell's K-monster edge over a hittable opp

— Kalshi30% book40% +10pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 72%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAD COL

Game Markets

LAD @ COL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

72%

1st 5 Innings

COL F5

26%

Game Total

Over 8.5

72%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

68%

Run Line

COL -1.5

17%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

73%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore COL by 3.00 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 7.33, COL 4.34
  • Blake Snell (LAD) vs Tomoyuki Sugano (COL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BS

Blake Snell

LAD SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

54%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

43%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

20%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

42%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

30%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.9 strikeouts
  • 54% to reach 5+ against COL
TS

Tomoyuki Sugano

COL SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

89%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

36%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

85%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

76%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.5 strikeouts
  • 10% to reach 5+ against LAD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BLAKE SNELL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%26.1%OPS-against.668
vs Left-handedK%52.9%OPS-against.437
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.757K%21.7%

TOMOYUKI SUGANO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%14.7%OPS-against.733
vs Left-handedK%13.2%OPS-against.900
LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.746K%20.2%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

COL BATTERS vs BLAKE SNELL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs TOMOYUKI SUGANO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 0·COL 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 8·COL 4
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
63%LAD
LAD 201 · COL 118 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-09LAD 4-3 · One-run game
2026-07-08COL 4-3 · One-run game
2026-07-07LAD 8-7 · Slugfest
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.292L15 team wOBA
-24 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

COL OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT93° · 7mph out to LF
COORS FIELD
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.18 · +
Doubles factor1.18 · +

Altitude — extreme run environment.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
93°F
Wind7 mph out to LF
Humidity11%
Rain1%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO