TEXASTEX
61-63 · +2 AL WEST · W1 · 5-5 L10
@SUN 4:05 PM ETATH HOME PARK
48-75 · +5 AL WEST · L1 · 3-7 L10
ATH
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Cody Bradford
LHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+
ERA
2.38
IP
11.1
K/9
4.8
BB/9
2.4
WHIP
1.15
L5 STARTS2.43 ERA · 13% K · 6.5% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Jacob Lopez
LHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+93
ERA
5.38
IP
82.0
K/9
8.2
BB/9
4.8
WHIP
1.56
L5 STARTS2.40 ERA · 29.1% K · 9.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
34%
31%
20%
10%
4-Seam FastballSliderCutterChangeupSinker
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETATH 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TEX ATH

Game Markets

TEX @ ATH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TEX to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

ATH F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

47%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

51%

Run Line

ATH -1.5

35%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

42%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

40%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.61 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: TEX 4.37, ATH 4.25
  • Cody Bradford (TEX) vs Jacob Lopez (ATH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CB

Cody Bradford

TEX SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

51%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

24%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

56%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

43%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.5 strikeouts
  • 11% to reach 5+ against ATH
JL

Jacob Lopez

ATH SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

42%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

54%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

16%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

47%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

33%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.2 strikeouts
  • 42% to reach 5+ against TEX

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

CODY BRADFORD SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%16.0%OPS-against.568
vs Left-handedK%9.5%OPS-against.714
ATH vs LHP (team)OPS.715K%24.9%

JACOB LOPEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%19.6%OPS-against.854
vs Left-handedK%21.6%OPS-against.625
TEX vs LHP (team)OPS.732K%24.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

ATH BATTERS vs CODY BRADFORD

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TEX BATTERS vs JACOB LOPEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TEX 1·ATH 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
TEX 5·ATH 6
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
93%TEX
TEX 160 · ATH 12 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-16TEX 5-3
2026-08-15ATH 8-3
2026-04-26ATH 2-1 · Pitchers duel
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

TEX OFFENSE

.276L15 team wOBA
-40 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

ATH OFFENSE

.284L15 team wOBA
-32 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT

Park factors unavailable.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO