BETFLYAISIGN IN
SEATTLESEA
58-66 · +3 AL WEST · W1 · 3-7 L10
@SUN 7:20 PM ETHOU HOME PARK
63-61 · +1 AL WEST · L1 · 5-5 L10
HOUSTONHOU
Weather
93°F · 10mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Bryan Woo
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
4.15
IP
132.1
K/9
9.0
BB/9
1.9
WHIP
1.10
L5 STARTS3.86 ERA · 25.6% K · 6.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
48%
18%
15%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSliderSweeperChangeup
Hunter Brown
RHP · HOUPROBABLE
STUFF+102
ERA
3.68
IP
63.2
K/9
9.5
BB/9
5.0
WHIP
1.27
L5 STARTS3.94 ERA · 24.1% K · 11.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
35%
28%
20%
9%
4-Seam FastballSinkerCurveballSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAstros 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA HOU

Game Markets

SEA @ HOU · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

48%

1st 5 Innings

HOU F5

42%

Game Total

Over 8.5

38%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

43%

Run Line

HOU -1.5

34%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

35%

Team Total

HOU Over 4.5

34%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 7.66 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: SEA 3.85, HOU 3.81
  • Bryan Woo (SEA) vs Hunter Brown (HOU)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BW

Bryan Woo

SEA SP · vs. HOU

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

69%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

50%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

9%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

95%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

65%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

65%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

50%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.6 strikeouts
  • 69% to reach 5+ against HOU
HB

Hunter Brown

HOU SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

68%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

8%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

69%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

25%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

42%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

28%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.5 strikeouts
  • 68% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRYAN WOO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how HOU hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.9%OPS-against.583
vs Left-handedK%23.4%OPS-against.692
HOU vs RHP (team)OPS.742K%21.6%

HUNTER BROWN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%23.7%OPS-against.560
vs Left-handedK%25.8%OPS-against.727
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.704K%22.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

HOU BATTERS vs BRYAN WOO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs HUNTER BROWN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 1·HOU 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 8·HOU 2
10 played · 9 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%HOU
SEA 102 · HOU 131 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-15SEA 10-5 · Slugfest
2026-08-15HOU 10-7 · Slugfest
2026-05-14SEA 8-3
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA48¢ · 48%
HOU55¢ · 55%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5— · —
HOU +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.288L15 team wOBA
-28 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

HOU OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT93° · 10mph out to CF
MINUTE MAID PARK
98HR
HR factor0.98 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral — Crawford Boxes LF-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
93°F
Wind10 mph out to CF
Humidity46%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO