BETFLYAISIGN IN
PHILADELPHIAPHI
66-58 · +2 NL EAST · W2 · 5-5 L10
@SUN 2:10 PM ETMIN HOME PARK
60-64 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 4-6 L10
MINNESOTAMIN
Weather
80°F · 11mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
2-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Andrew Painter
RHP · PHIPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
6.27
IP
80.1
K/9
7.7
BB/9
3.5
WHIP
1.53
L5 STARTS6.52 ERA · 22.2% K · 12.1% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
33%
21%
14%
11%
11%
9%
4-Seam FastballSliderSplit-FingerSweeperSinkerCurveball
Dean Kremer
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+88
ERA
5.25
IP
48.0
K/9
8.8
BB/9
2.6
WHIP
1.17
L5 STARTS6.23 ERA · 21.3% K · 9.3% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
39%
21%
Split-Finger4-Seam Fastball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PHI MIN

Game Markets

PHI @ MIN · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

PHI to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

MIN F5

46%

Game Total

Over 8.5

56%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

60%

Run Line

MIN -1.5

35%

Team Total

PHI Over 4.5

48%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

48%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 9.66 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: PHI 4.86, MIN 4.80
  • Andrew Painter (PHI) vs Dean Kremer (MIN)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
AP

Andrew Painter

PHI SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

49%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

88%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

38%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

67%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.6 strikeouts
  • 49% to reach 5+ against MIN
DK

Dean Kremer

MIN SP · vs. PHI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

33%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

70%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

36%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

61%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.7 strikeouts
  • 51% to reach 5+ against PHI

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ANDREW PAINTER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%18.4%OPS-against.857
vs Left-handedK%19.6%OPS-against.822
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.739K%21.1%

DEAN KREMER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PHI hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.0%OPS-against.842
vs Left-handedK%22.0%OPS-against.963
PHI vs RHP (team)OPS.717K%22.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

MIN BATTERS vs ANDREW PAINTER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PHI BATTERS vs DEAN KREMER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PHI 1·MIN 0
2-game set · gm 2 of 2
2026 SEASON
PHI 3·MIN 1
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%MIN
PHI 27 · MIN 30 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-15PHI 9-1 · Blowout
2026-08-13PHI 7-1 · Blowout
2026-03-17PHI 2-0 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PHI57¢ · 57%
MIN46¢ · 46%
Total 8
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
PHI -1.5— · —
MIN +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

PHI OFFENSE

.338L15 team wOBA
+22 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

MIN OFFENSE

.311L15 team wOBA
-5 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT80° · 11mph out to RF
TARGET FIELD
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.05 · +

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
80°F
Wind11 mph out to RF
Humidity49%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO