BETFLYAISIGN IN
COLORADOCOL
49-74 · +5 NL WEST · L1 · 4-6 L10
@SUN 4:05 PM ETSF HOME PARK
51-72 · +4 NL WEST · W1 · 3-7 L10
SAN FRANCISCOSF
Weather
67°F · 10mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Gabriel Hughes
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
5.61
IP
33.2
K/9
8.3
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.28
L5 STARTS6.69 ERA · 21.3% K · 8.3% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Blade Tidwell
RHP · SFPROBABLE
STUFF+113
ERA
2.78
IP
22.2
K/9
7.5
BB/9
2.0
WHIP
1.10
L5 STARTS2.96 ERA · 19.7% K · 6.1% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
42%
41%
4-Seam FastballSweeper
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGiants 59%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL SF

Game Markets

COL @ SF · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SF to win

59%

1st 5 Innings

SF F5

47%

Game Total

Over 8.5

45%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

47%

Run Line

SF -1.5

41%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

35%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

SF projects to outscore COL by 0.66 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 3.85, SF 4.51
  • Gabriel Hughes (COL) vs Blade Tidwell (SF)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GH

Gabriel Hughes

COL SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

87%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

19%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

63%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

49%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 29% to reach 5+ against SF
BT

Blade Tidwell

SF SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

54%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

5%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

88%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

62%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

48%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.9 strikeouts
  • 54% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

GABRIEL HUGHES SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%27.3%OPS-against.697
vs Left-handedK%18.2%OPS-against.699
SF vs RHP (team)OPS.730K%20.2%

BLADE TIDWELL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.8%OPS-against.373
vs Left-handedK%11.4%OPS-against.836
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.755K%21.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SF BATTERS vs GABRIEL HUGHES

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs BLADE TIDWELL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 1·SF 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 7·SF 7
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
59%SF
COL 134 · SF 193 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-15SF 7-1 · Blowout
2026-08-15COL 5-2
2026-07-12SF 3-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL40¢ · 40%
SF62¢ · 62%
Total 7.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5— · —
SF +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.309L15 team wOBA
-7 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

SF OFFENSE

.263L15 team wOBA
-53 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT67° · 10mph out to CF
ORACLE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.90 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Marine air kills carry to RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
67°F
Wind10 mph out to CF
Humidity75%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO