BETFLYAISIGN IN
SEATTLESEA
57-66 · +3 AL WEST · L1 · 2-8 L10
@SAT 7:10 PM ETHOU HOME PARK
63-60 · +1 AL WEST · W2 · 5-5 L10
HOUSTONHOU
Weather
93°F · 11mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Emerson Hancock
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
3.35
IP
121.0
K/9
8.3
BB/9
2.2
WHIP
1.12
L5 STARTS4.02 ERA · 17.9% K · 5.7% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
38%
24%
18%
12%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSweeperCutterChangeupCurveball
Hayden Wesneski
RHP · HOUPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.86
IP
18.2
K/9
5.8
BB/9
2.9
WHIP
1.18
L5 STARTS3.96 ERA · 16% K · 8% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAstros 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA HOU

Game Markets

SEA @ HOU · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

HOU to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

HOU F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

43%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

48%

Run Line

HOU -1.5

37%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

38%

Team Total

HOU Over 4.5

41%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.17 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: SEA 3.99, HOU 4.18
  • Emerson Hancock (SEA) vs Hayden Wesneski (HOU)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
EH

Emerson Hancock

SEA SP · vs. HOU

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

59%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

92%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

59%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

69%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.1 strikeouts
  • 59% to reach 5+ against HOU
HW

Hayden Wesneski

HOU SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

91%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

34%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

58%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

43%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.4 strikeouts
  • 46% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

EMERSON HANCOCK SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how HOU hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%21.1%OPS-against.636
vs Left-handedK%23.8%OPS-against.672
HOU vs RHP (team)OPS.743K%21.5%

HAYDEN WESNESKI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%20.0%OPS-against.767
vs Left-handedK%11.4%OPS-against.698
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.701K%22.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

HOU BATTERS vs EMERSON HANCOCK

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs HAYDEN WESNESKI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 0·HOU 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 7·HOU 2
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%HOU
SEA 101 · HOU 131 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-15HOU 10-7 · Slugfest
2026-05-14SEA 8-3
2026-05-14HOU 4-3 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA48¢ · 48%
HOU55¢ · 55%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5— · —
HOU +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→8.5→8→8.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.277L15 team wOBA
-39 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

HOU OFFENSE

.322L15 team wOBA
+6 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT93° · 11mph out to CF
MINUTE MAID PARK
98HR
HR factor0.98 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral — Crawford Boxes LF-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
93°F
Wind11 mph out to CF
Humidity50%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO