Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
MIA @ CIN · full-game reads
Moneyline
MIA to win
49%
1st 5 Innings
CIN F5
44%
Game Total
Over 8.5
65%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
65%
Run Line
CIN -1.5
36%
Team Total
MIA Over 4.5
57%
Team Total
CIN Over 4.5
55%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 10.79 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
MIA SP · vs. CIN
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
27%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
14%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
48%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
17%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
61%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
48%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
CIN SP · vs. MIA
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
43%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
24%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
13%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
2%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
73%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
32%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
69%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
55%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIA hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
League’s hottest HR park.
Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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