TEXASTEX
60-62 · +2 AL WEST · L3 · 5-5 L10
@FRI 9:40 PM ETATH HOME PARK
47-74 · +5 AL WEST · L3 · 2-8 L10
ATH
Weather
Home plate ump
Mike Estabrook K+0.0%
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Kumar Rocker
RHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
4.46
IP
111.0
K/9
8.3
BB/9
3.4
WHIP
1.38
L5 STARTS6.35 ERA · 24.4% K · 8.4% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
38%
31%
14%
12%
SliderSinkerCutter4-Seam FastballChangeup
Gage Jump
LHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
4.46
IP
72.2
K/9
10.4
BB/9
4.1
WHIP
1.46
L5 STARTS6.77 ERA · 32.4% K · 16.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
49%
25%
12%
4-Seam FastballSliderCurveballSweeper
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRangers 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TEX ATH

Game Markets

TEX @ ATH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TEX to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

ATH F5

37%

Game Total

Over 8.5

46%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

48%

Run Line

ATH -1.5

28%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

45%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

36%

THE READ

TEX projects to outscore ATH by 0.66 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: TEX 4.57, ATH 3.91
  • MacKenzie Gore (TEX) vs J.T. Ginn (ATH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MG

MacKenzie Gore

TEX SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

55%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

10%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

44%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

30%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.4 strikeouts
  • 67% to reach 5+ against ATH
JG

J.T. Ginn

ATH SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

5%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

70%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

30%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

56%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

42%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.9 strikeouts
  • 57% to reach 5+ against TEX

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

KUMAR ROCKER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%21.6%OPS-against.625
vs Left-handedK%21.2%OPS-against.865
ATH vs LHP (team)OPS.708K%24.9%

GAGE JUMP SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%27.4%OPS-against.771
vs Left-handedK%24.7%OPS-against.714
TEX vs RHP (team)OPS.701K%22.0%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

ATH BATTERS vs KUMAR ROCKER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TEX BATTERS vs GAGE JUMP

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TEX 0·ATH 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
TEX 4·ATH 5
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
94%TEX
TEX 159 · ATH 11 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-04-26ATH 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-04-25TEX 4-3 · One-run game
2026-04-25ATH 8-1 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

TEX OFFENSE

.262L15 team wOBA
-54 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

ATH OFFENSE

.277L15 team wOBA
-39 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT

Park factors unavailable.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE
ESTABROOK
Called K rate0.0% vs avg
Runs per 9
Games this yr309

Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

RANGERS 55%

Mean score sim 4.63.9 · projected total 8.5 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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