CHICAGOCWS
62-58 · +1 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 4-6 L10
@FRI 6:40 PM ETDET HOME PARK
60-61 · +2 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 7-3 L10
DETROITDET
Weather
82°F · 12mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Sean Newcomb
LHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+107
ERA
2.66
IP
64.1
K/9
8.4
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.13
L5 STARTS0.00 ERA · 20.8% K · 8.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
35%
33%
25%
4-Seam FastballSlurveSinkerChangeup
Jackson Jobe
RHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+
ERA
0.00
IP
5.0
K/9
7.2
BB/9
1.8
WHIP
0.40
L5 STARTS0.00 ERA · 25% K · 6.3% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS DET

Game Markets

CWS @ DET · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

DET F5

44%

Game Total

Over 8.5

45%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

47%

Run Line

DET -1.5

37%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

39%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore CWS by 0.27 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CWS 4.10, DET 4.38
  • Sean Newcomb (CWS) vs Jackson Jobe (DET)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SN

Sean Newcomb

CWS SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

42%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

51%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

17%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

50%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

37%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.2 strikeouts
  • 42% to reach 5+ against DET
JJ

Jackson Jobe

DET SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

71%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

33%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

56%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.4 strikeouts
  • 46% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SEAN NEWCOMB SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.2%OPS-against.581
vs Left-handedK%21.1%OPS-against.661
DET vs RHP (team)OPS.736K%22.6%

JACKSON JOBE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%28.6%OPS-against.286
vs Left-handedK%22.2%OPS-against.111
CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.726K%24.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

DET BATTERS vs SEAN NEWCOMB

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs JACKSON JOBE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 0·DET 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CWS 3·DET 3
6 played · 13 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%DET
CWS 140 · DET 154 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-06-21DET 5-4 · One-run game
2026-06-20DET 4-1
2026-06-19DET 4-3 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS43¢ · 43%
DET61¢ · 61%
Total 8.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5 ·
DET +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.301L15 team wOBA
-15 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

DET OFFENSE

.350L15 team wOBA
+34 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
ENVIRONMENT82° · 12mph out to RF
COMERICA PARK
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.97 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Deep LC/RC. Suppresses HR.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
82°F
Wind12 mph out to RF
Humidity51%
Rain2%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO