WASHINGTONWSH
60-63 · +4 NL EAST · W1 · 5-5 L10
@2026-08-13NYM HOME PARK
53-69 · +5 NL EAST · L2 · 6-4 L10
NEW YORKNYM
Weather
85°F · 7mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMets 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

WSH NYM

Game Markets

WSH @ NYM · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYM to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

NYM F5

43%

Game Total

Over 8.5

51%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

NYM -1.5

37%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

45%

Team Total

NYM Over 4.5

46%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 9.20 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: WSH 4.56, NYM 4.64
  • Andrew Alvarez (WSH) vs Robert Stock (NYM)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
AA

Andrew Alvarez

WSH SP · vs. NYM

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

95%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

63%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.3 strikeouts
  • 63% to reach 5+ against NYM
RS

Robert Stock

NYM SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

20%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

3%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

39%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

26%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 18% to reach 5+ against WSH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYM hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

NYM vs LHP (team)OPS.708K%22.9%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

WSH vs RHP (team)OPS.760K%20.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

NYM BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

WSH BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
WSH 0·NYM 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
WSH 8·NYM 4
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%WSH
WSH 214 · NYM 174 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-21NYM 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-05-20WSH 8-4
2026-05-19WSH 9-6 · Slugfest
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
WSH49¢ · 49%
NYM55¢ · 55%
Total 8.5
Over54¢ · 54%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
WSH -1.5 ·
NYM +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

WSH OFFENSE

.312L15 team wOBA
-4 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

NYM OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT85° · 7mph out to RF
CITI FIELD
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.95 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Deep OF, dead air.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
85°F
Wind7 mph out to RF
Humidity43%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

METS 53%

Mean score sim 4.64.6 · projected total 9.2 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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