SEATTLESEA
57-65 · +3 AL WEST · W1 · 3-7 L10
@2026-08-13HOU HOME PARK
62-60 · +1 AL WEST · W1 · 5-5 L10
HOUSTONHOU
Weather
88°F · 9mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAstros 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA HOU

Game Markets

SEA @ HOU · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

HOU to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

HOU F5

43%

Game Total

Over 8.5

43%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

48%

Run Line

HOU -1.5

36%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

38%

Team Total

HOU Over 4.5

40%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.22 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: SEA 4.03, HOU 4.18
  • George Kirby (SEA) vs Peter Lambert (HOU)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GK

George Kirby

SEA SP · vs. HOU

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

49%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

93%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

69%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

73%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

59%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.6 strikeouts
  • 49% to reach 5+ against HOU
PL

Peter Lambert

HOU SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

52%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

73%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

9%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

49%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

34%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.7 strikeouts
  • 52% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how HOU hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

HOU vs LHP (team)OPS.699K%20.5%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.699K%22.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

HOU BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 0·HOU 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 7·HOU 1
8 played · 11 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%HOU
SEA 101 · HOU 130 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-14SEA 8-3
2026-05-14HOU 4-3 · One-run game
2026-05-13SEA 10-2 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA48¢ · 48%
HOU56¢ · 56%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5 ·
HOU +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT88.588.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.282L15 team wOBA
-34 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

HOU OFFENSE

.316L15 team wOBA
0 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
ENVIRONMENT88° · 9mph out to CF
MINUTE MAID PARK
98HR
HR factor0.98 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral — Crawford Boxes LF-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
88°F
Wind9 mph out to CF
Humidity69%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

ASTROS 54%

Mean score sim 4.04.2 · projected total 8.2 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

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