NEW YORKNYY
68-53 · +2 AL EAST · L1 · 6-4 L10
@2026-08-13TOR HOME PARK
59-64 · +4 AL EAST · L1 · 6-4 L10
TORONTOTOR
Weather
82°F · 8mph in from CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 58%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

NYY TOR

Game Markets

NYY @ TOR · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

58%

1st 5 Innings

TOR F5

34%

Game Total

Over 8.5

55%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

59%

Run Line

TOR -1.5

27%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

54%

Team Total

TOR Over 4.5

41%

THE READ

NYY projects to outscore TOR by 1.12 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: NYY 5.29, TOR 4.17
  • Gerrit Cole (NYY) vs Shane Bieber (TOR)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GC

Gerrit Cole

NYY SP · vs. TOR

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

60%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

5%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

96%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

50%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

52%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.1 strikeouts
  • 60% to reach 5+ against TOR
SB

Shane Bieber

TOR SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

42%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

87%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

42%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

66%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

53%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.2 strikeouts
  • 42% to reach 5+ against NYY

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TOR hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

TOR vs LHP (team)OPS.620K%21.2%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

NYY vs RHP (team)OPS.719K%24.4%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

TOR BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

NYY BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
NYY 0·TOR 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
NYY 7·TOR 4
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%NYY
NYY 187 · TOR 169 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-06-14NYY 8-3
2026-06-13NYY 3-1
2026-06-12TOR 8-5
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
NYY60¢ · 60%
TOR44¢ · 44%
Total 8
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
NYY -1.5 ·
TOR +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.58last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

NYY OFFENSE

.286L15 team wOBA
-30 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

TOR OFFENSE

.282L15 team wOBA
-34 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT82° · 8mph in from CF
ROGERS CENTRE
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
82°F
Wind8 mph in from CF
Humidity39%
Rain0%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

YANKEES 58%

Mean score sim 5.34.2 · projected total 9.5 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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