BETFLYAISIGN IN
MILWAUKEEMIL
74-47 · +1 NL CENTRAL · L3 · 5-5 L10
@THU 10:10 PM ETLAD HOME PARK
73-48 · +1 NL WEST · W3 · 4-6 L10
LOS ANGELESLAD
Weather
71°F · 7mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Shane Drohan
LHP · MILPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
3.87
IP
93.0
K/9
9.0
BB/9
2.7
WHIP
1.25
L5 STARTS5.88 ERA · 26% K · 6.5% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
21%
20%
14%
11%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSliderCurveballCutter
Roki Sasaki
RHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
4.54
IP
105.0
K/9
9.1
BB/9
3.4
WHIP
1.28
L5 STARTS2.46 ERA · 26.5% K · 6.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
43%
35%
22%
4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIL LAD

Game Markets

MIL @ LAD · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIL to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

LAD F5

43%

Game Total

Over 8.5

37%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

41%

Run Line

LAD -1.5

34%

Team Total

MIL Over 4.5

35%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

35%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 7.62 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: MIL 3.82, LAD 3.80
  • Shane Drohan (MIL) vs Roki Sasaki (LAD)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SD

Shane Drohan

MIL SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

80%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

64%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

16%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

100%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

96%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

55%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.3 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.3 strikeouts
  • 80% to reach 5+ against LAD
RS

Roki Sasaki

LAD SP · vs. MIL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

76%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

59%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

12%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

74%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

13%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

39%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

26%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.0 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.0 strikeouts
  • 76% to reach 5+ against MIL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

SHANE DROHAN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.1%OPS-against.724
vs Left-handedK%23.3%OPS-against.639
LAD vs RHP (team)OPS.774K%20.6%

ROKI SASAKI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIL hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%23.0%OPS-against.829
vs Left-handedK%24.3%OPS-against.749
MIL vs LHP (team)OPS.690K%21.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAD BATTERS vs SHANE DROHAN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIL BATTERS vs ROKI SASAKI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIL 0·LAD 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
MIL 2·LAD 3
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%LAD
MIL 69 · LAD 77 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-24LAD 5-1
2026-05-23LAD 11-3 · Blowout
2026-05-22MIL 5-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIL45¢ · 45%
LAD59¢ · 59%
Total 8
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
MIL -1.5— · —
LAD +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

MIL OFFENSE

.307L15 team wOBA
-9 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

LAD OFFENSE

.320L15 team wOBA
+4 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT71° · 7mph out to CF
DODGER STADIUM
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

HR-friendly, low BABIP.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
71°F
Wind7 mph out to CF
Humidity78%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

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