KANSAS CITYKC
49-73 · +5 AL CENTRAL · L4 · 3-7 L10
@2026-08-13LAA HOME PARK
47-74 · +5 AL WEST · W2 · 5-5 L10
LOS ANGELESLAA
Weather
80°F · 9mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAngels 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

KC LAA

Game Markets

KC @ LAA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAA to win

52%

1st 5 Innings

LAA F5

48%

Game Total

Over 8.5

63%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

66%

Run Line

LAA -1.5

38%

Team Total

KC Over 4.5

53%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

54%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 10.56 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: KC 5.26, LAA 5.30
  • Seth Lugo (KC) vs Grayson Rodriguez (LAA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SL

Seth Lugo

KC SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

95%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

51%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

77%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

65%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.4 strikeouts
  • 25% to reach 5+ against LAA
GR

Grayson Rodriguez

LAA SP · vs. KC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

28%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

7%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

32%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 30% to reach 5+ against KC

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAA vs LHP (team)OPS.701K%25.7%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how KC hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

KC vs RHP (team)OPS.709K%20.9%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

LAA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

KC BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
KC 0·LAA 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
KC 3·LAA 2
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%KC
KC 78 · LAA 71 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-04-26KC 11-9 · Slugfest
2026-04-25KC 12-1 · Blowout
2026-04-24KC 6-3
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
KC52¢ · 52%
LAA52¢ · 52%
Total 9
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
KC -1.5 ·
LAA +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

KC OFFENSE

.285L15 team wOBA
-31 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

LAA OFFENSE

.257L15 team wOBA
-59 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT80° · 9mph out to CF
ANGEL STADIUM
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight pitcher tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
80°F
Wind9 mph out to CF
Humidity62%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

ANGELS 52%

Mean score sim 5.35.3 · projected total 10.6 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read