COLORADOCOL
48-73 · +5 NL WEST · W2 · 4-6 L10
@2026-08-13SF HOME PARK
50-71 · +4 NL WEST · L1 · 3-7 L10
SAN FRANCISCOSF
Weather
67°F · 15mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGiants 64%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL SF

Game Markets

COL @ SF · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SF to win

64%

1st 5 Innings

SF F5

53%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

54%

Run Line

SF -1.5

46%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

38%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

52%

THE READ

SF projects to outscore COL by 1.08 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 4.03, SF 5.11
  • Kyle Freeland (COL) vs Landen Roupp (SF)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
KF

Kyle Freeland

COL SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

68%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

44%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

56%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 4.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 4.0 strikeouts
  • 37% to reach 5+ against SF
LR

Landen Roupp

SF SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

50%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

33%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

59%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

26%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

33%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.7 strikeouts
  • 50% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SF vs LHP (team)OPS.664K%23.3%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

COL vs RHP (team)OPS.759K%21.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

SF BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·SF 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 6·SF 6
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
59%SF
COL 133 · SF 192 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-12SF 3-1
2026-07-11SF 4-2
2026-07-11COL 4-3 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL49¢ · 49%
SF55¢ · 55%
Total 7.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5 ·
SF +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT87.587.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.317L15 team wOBA
+1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

SF OFFENSE

.268L15 team wOBA
-48 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT67° · 15mph out to CF
ORACLE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.90 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Marine air kills carry to RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
67°F
Wind15 mph out to CF
Humidity76%
Rain0%

Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

GIANTS 64%

Mean score sim 4.05.1 · projected total 9.1 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read