BETFLYAISIGN IN
CINCINNATICIN
57-62 · +4 NL CENTRAL · L1 · 5-5 L10
@THU 2:10 PM ETCWS HOME PARK
62-57 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 4-6 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
76°F · 4mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Andrew Abbott
LHP · CINPROBABLE
STUFF+95
ERA
3.92
IP
128.2
K/9
6.9
BB/9
4.3
WHIP
1.39
L5 STARTS3.97 ERA · 15.4% K · 13.7% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
46%
21%
18%
14%
4-Seam FastballSweeperChangeupCurveball
Davis Martin
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
4.17
IP
123.0
K/9
7.9
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.33
L5 STARTS7.70 ERA · 15.7% K · 6.9% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
18%
15%
14%
13%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerChangeupSliderCutterCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETWhite Sox 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CIN CWS

Game Markets

CIN @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

61%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

63%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

39%

Team Total

CIN Over 4.5

50%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

54%

THE READ

CWS projects to outscore CIN by 0.28 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CIN 4.96, CWS 5.24
  • Andrew Abbott (CIN) vs Davis Martin (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
AA

Andrew Abbott

CIN SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

64%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

24%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

65%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

52%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.5 strikeouts
  • 26% to reach 5+ against CWS
DM

Davis Martin

CWS SP · vs. CIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

32%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

3%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

37%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 29% to reach 5+ against CIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ANDREW ABBOTT SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.4%OPS-against.715
vs Left-handedK%26.8%OPS-against.680
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.724K%23.7%

DAVIS MARTIN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%22.9%OPS-against.684
vs Left-handedK%19.3%OPS-against.744
CIN vs LHP (team)OPS.740K%24.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs ANDREW ABBOTT

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CIN BATTERS vs DAVIS MARTIN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CIN 1·CWS 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
CIN 3·CWS 1
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%CWS
CIN 27 · CWS 31 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-12CWS 5-0
2026-08-11CIN 5-4 · One-run game
2026-03-22CIN 11-7 · Slugfest
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CIN46¢ · 46%
CWS58¢ · 58%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
CIN -1.5— · —
CWS +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→9→8.5→9→8.5→9→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CIN OFFENSE

.283L15 team wOBA
-33 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CWS OFFENSE

.301L15 team wOBA
-15 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT76° · 4mph in from CF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
76°F
Wind4 mph in from CF
Humidity84%
Rain6%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO