MILWAUKEEMIL
74-47 · +1 NL CENTRAL · L3 · 5-5 L10
@2026-08-12LAD HOME PARK
72-48 · +1 NL WEST · W2 · 3-7 L10
LOS ANGELESLAD
Weather
82°F · 11mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIL LAD

Game Markets

MIL @ LAD · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

52%

1st 5 Innings

LAD F5

42%

Game Total

Over 8.5

39%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

40%

Run Line

LAD -1.5

34%

Team Total

MIL Over 4.5

35%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

36%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 7.77 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: MIL 3.87, LAD 3.90
  • Shane Drohan (MIL) vs Roki Sasaki (LAD)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SD

Shane Drohan

MIL SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

79%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

64%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

17%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

100%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

96%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

69%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

55%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.4 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.4 strikeouts
  • 79% to reach 5+ against LAD
RS

Roki Sasaki

LAD SP · vs. MIL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

76%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

38%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

11%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

75%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

14%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

27%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.9 strikeouts
  • 76% to reach 5+ against MIL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.750K%19.8%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

MIL vs RHP (team)OPS.746K%21.4%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

LAD BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIL 0·LAD 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
MIL 2·LAD 3
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%LAD
MIL 69 · LAD 77 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-24LAD 5-1
2026-05-23LAD 11-3 · Blowout
2026-05-22MIL 5-1
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIL45¢ · 45%
LAD59¢ · 59%
Total 8
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
MIL -1.5 ·
LAD +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.58last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

MIL OFFENSE

.307L15 team wOBA
-9 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

LAD OFFENSE

.324L15 team wOBA
+8 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT82° · 11mph out to CF
DODGER STADIUM
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

HR-friendly, low BABIP.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
82°F
Wind11 mph out to CF
Humidity61%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

DODGERS 52%

Mean score sim 3.93.9 · projected total 7.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read