Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
David Peterson · Over 4.5 5+ Ks
elite swing-and-miss stuff
Andrés Chaparro · Over 0.5 1+ RBIs
hot bat in run-producing spot
Andrés Chaparro · Over 0.5 1+ Runs
high-OBP profile + lineup behind drives runs
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
CHC @ WSH · full-game reads
Moneyline
CHC to win
49%
1st 5 Innings
WSH F5
42%
Game Total
Over 8.5
49%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
46%
Run Line
WSH -1.5
33%
Team Total
CHC Over 4.5
44%
Team Total
WSH Over 4.5
41%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 8.84 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
CHC SP · vs. WSH
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
70%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
53%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
37%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
22%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
13%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
77%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
47%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
61%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
47%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.8 Ks.
WSH SP · vs. CHC
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
56%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
38%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
23%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
11%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
5%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
47%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
15%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
46%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
32%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.0 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CHC hits LHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Neutral.
Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.
Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.
Mean score sim 4.5–4.3 · projected total 8.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
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