BETFLYAISIGN IN
SEATTLESEA
56-63 · +3 AL WEST · L4 · 3-7 L10
@TUE 7:05 PM ETNYY HOME PARK
66-52 · +2 AL EAST · L1 · 5-5 L10
NEW YORKNYY
Weather
78°F · 8mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Bryan Woo
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
4.31
IP
127.1
K/9
9.0
BB/9
1.9
WHIP
1.12
L5 STARTS4.82 ERA · 24.2% K · 6.5% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
48%
18%
15%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSliderSweeperChangeup
Ryan Weathers
LHP · NYYPROBABLE
STUFF+101
ERA
3.79
IP
121.0
K/9
9.8
BB/9
2.5
WHIP
1.22
L5 STARTS2.29 ERA · 23.9% K · 6% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
28%
24%
20%
18%
10%
4-Seam FastballChangeupSweeperSinkerSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA NYY

Game Markets

SEA @ NYY · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

NYY F5

43%

Game Total

Over 8.5

47%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

48%

Run Line

NYY -1.5

36%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

41%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.63 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: SEA 4.28, NYY 4.36
  • Bryan Woo (SEA) vs Ryan Weathers (NYY)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BW

Bryan Woo

SEA SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

68%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

9%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

62%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

55%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.6 strikeouts
  • 68% to reach 5+ against NYY
RW

Ryan Weathers

NYY SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

82%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

19%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

49%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

58%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

44%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.5 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.5 strikeouts
  • 82% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRYAN WOO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%25.9%OPS-against.585
vs Left-handedK%23.1%OPS-against.700
NYY vs LHP (team)OPS.724K%24.9%

RYAN WEATHERS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.7%OPS-against.696
vs Left-handedK%28.0%OPS-against.710
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.698K%22.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

NYY BATTERS vs BRYAN WOO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs RYAN WEATHERS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 0·NYY 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 1·NYY 2
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
65%NYY
SEA 38 · NYY 71 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-04-01NYY 5-3
2026-04-01NYY 5-0
2026-03-31SEA 2-1 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA47¢ · 47%
NYY57¢ · 57%
Total 8
Over52¢ · 52%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5— · —
NYY +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8→8.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.285L15 team wOBA
-31 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

NYY OFFENSE

.281L15 team wOBA
-35 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT78° · 8mph out to RF
YANKEE STADIUM
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Short porch — LH HR heaven.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
78°F
Wind8 mph out to RF
Humidity83%
Rain18%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO