BETFLYAISIGN IN
PHILADELPHIAPHI
64-56 · +2 NL EAST · W2 · 7-3 L10
@TUE 7:45 PM ETSTL HOME PARK
59-60 · +3 NL CENTRAL · L1 · 5-5 L10
ST. LOUISSTL
Weather
99°F · 9mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Cristopher Sánchez
LHP · PHIPROBABLE
STUFF+118
ERA
2.65
IP
149.2
K/9
10.5
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
1.22
L5 STARTS2.78 ERA · 28.5% K · 8.5% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
42%
39%
19%
SinkerChangeupSlider
Andre Pallante
RHP · STLPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.63
IP
124.0
K/9
6.5
BB/9
2.7
WHIP
1.22
L5 STARTS3.82 ERA · 16.8% K · 8.4% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
30%
19%
18%
4-Seam FastballSliderSinkerCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Andre Pallante · Over 3.5 4+ Ks

strikeout machine on the bump

+113 DraftKings47% book66% +19pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETPhillies 60%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PHI STL

Game Markets

PHI @ STL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

PHI to win

60%

1st 5 Innings

STL F5

31%

Game Total

Over 8.5

37%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

38%

Run Line

STL -1.5

23%

Team Total

PHI Over 4.5

43%

Team Total

STL Over 4.5

26%

THE READ

PHI projects to outscore STL by 1.21 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: PHI 4.38, STL 3.17
  • Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) vs Andre Pallante (STL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CS

Cristopher Sánchez

PHI SP · vs. STL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

95%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

88%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

77%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

46%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

98%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

75%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

35%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.3 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.3 strikeouts
  • 95% to reach 5+ against STL
AP

Andre Pallante

STL SP · vs. PHI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

74%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

24%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

58%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

44%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.2 strikeouts
  • 22% to reach 5+ against PHI

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

CRISTOPHER SÁNCHEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how STL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.5%OPS-against.774
vs Left-handedK%38.5%OPS-against.315
STL vs RHP (team)OPS.697K%21.3%

ANDRE PALLANTE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PHI hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%18.3%OPS-against.607
vs Left-handedK%16.7%OPS-against.707
PHI vs LHP (team)OPS.693K%23.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

STL BATTERS vs CRISTOPHER SÁNCHEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PHI BATTERS vs ANDRE PALLANTE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PHI 1·STL 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
PHI 1·STL 0
1 played · 18 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
50%PHI
PHI 57 · STL 57 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-10PHI 6-5 · One-run game
2025-05-14STL 14-7 · Blowout
2025-05-14PHI 2-1 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PHI63¢ · 63%
STL41¢ · 41%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
PHI -1.5— · —
STL +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→9→6.5→8→6.5→8.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

PHI OFFENSE

.338L15 team wOBA
+22 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

STL OFFENSE

.298L15 team wOBA
-18 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT99° · 9mph out to CF
BUSCH STADIUM
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
99°F
Wind9 mph out to CF
Humidity36%
Rain2%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

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