COLORADOCOL
46-73 · +5 NL WEST · L2 · 4-6 L10
@2026-08-11ARI HOME PARK
ARIZONAARI
Weather
95°F · 6mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDiamondbacks 63%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL ARI

Game Markets

COL @ ARI · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

ARI to win

63%

1st 5 Innings

ARI F5

53%

Game Total

Over 8.5

64%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

66%

Run Line

ARI -1.5

47%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

45%

Team Total

ARI Over 4.5

62%

THE READ

ARI projects to outscore COL by 1.20 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 4.74, ARI 5.94
  • Tomoyuki Sugano (COL) vs Mitch Bratt (ARI)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TS

Tomoyuki Sugano

COL SP · vs. ARI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

81%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

28%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

79%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

68%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.4 strikeouts
  • 9% to reach 5+ against ARI
MB

Mitch Bratt

ARI SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

57%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

27%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

42%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.1 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.1 strikeouts
  • 21% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

ARI vs LHP (team)OPS.787K%17.2%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

COL vs RHP (team)OPS.759K%21.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

ARI BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·ARI 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 4·ARI 0
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
100%COL
COL 165 · ARI 0 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-11AZ 9-0 · Blowout
2026-05-24AZ 9-1 · Blowout
2026-05-24AZ 5-4 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL40¢ · 40%
ARI64¢ · 64%
Total 9
Over55¢ · 55%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5 ·
ARI +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.59.58.59last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.313L15 team wOBA
-3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

ARI OFFENSE

.315L15 team wOBA
-1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
ENVIRONMENT95° · 6mph out to RF
CHASE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.02 · neutral
Doubles factor1.05 · +

Slight offensive tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
95°F
Wind6 mph out to RF
Humidity35%
Rain2%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

DIAMONDBACKS 63%

Mean score sim 4.75.9 · projected total 10.7 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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