BETFLYAISIGN IN
TEXASTEX
59-59 · +2 AL WEST · L1 · 4-6 L10
@MON 9:38 PM ETLAA HOME PARK
45-73 · +5 AL WEST · L2 · 3-7 L10
LOS ANGELESLAA
Weather
77°F · 8mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
MacKenzie Gore
LHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
4.55
IP
128.2
K/9
9.8
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS3.97 ERA · 25.4% K · 6.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
45%
21%
10%
10%
9%
4-Seam FastballCurveballChangeupSliderCutterSinker
Reid Detmers
LHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+105
ERA
4.12
IP
129.0
K/9
10.5
BB/9
2.7
WHIP
1.10
L5 STARTS4.11 ERA · 33.7% K · 5.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
45%
33%
11%
10%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAngels 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TEX LAA

Game Markets

TEX @ LAA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TEX to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

LAA F5

44%

Game Total

Over 8.5

38%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

39%

Run Line

LAA -1.5

33%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

36%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

36%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 7.73 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: TEX 3.92, LAA 3.81
  • MacKenzie Gore (TEX) vs Reid Detmers (LAA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MG

MacKenzie Gore

TEX SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

68%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

11%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

72%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

33%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

50%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

35%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.7 strikeouts
  • 68% to reach 5+ against LAA
RD

Reid Detmers

LAA SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

66%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

17%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

67%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

20%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

42%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

28%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.4 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.4 strikeouts
  • 81% to reach 5+ against TEX

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

MACKENZIE GORE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%27.5%OPS-against.669
vs Left-handedK%20.1%OPS-against.791
LAA vs LHP (team)OPS.705K%26.1%

REID DETMERS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%29.3%OPS-against.658
vs Left-handedK%25.4%OPS-against.631
TEX vs LHP (team)OPS.749K%25.0%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAA BATTERS vs MACKENZIE GORE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TEX BATTERS vs REID DETMERS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TEX 0·LAA 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
TEX 3·LAA 5
8 played · 11 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
50%TEX
TEX 159 · LAA 159 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-10TEX 7-6 · One-run game
2026-07-09LAA 13-1 · Blowout
2026-07-08TEX 8-3
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
TEX55¢ · 55%
LAA50¢ · 50%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
TEX -1.5— · —
LAA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

TEX OFFENSE

.294L15 team wOBA
-22 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

LAA OFFENSE

.263L15 team wOBA
-53 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT77° · 8mph out to CF
ANGEL STADIUM
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight pitcher tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
77°F
Wind8 mph out to CF
Humidity65%
Rain2%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO