Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
TB @ ATH · full-game reads
Moneyline
TB to win
53%
1st 5 Innings
ATH F5
39%
Game Total
Over 8.5
41%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
46%
Run Line
ATH -1.5
29%
Team Total
TB Over 4.5
41%
Team Total
ATH Over 4.5
33%
THE READ
TB projects to outscore ATH by 0.60 runs across 5,000 trials.
TB SP · vs. ATH
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
52%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
33%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
17%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
8%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
3%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
37%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
2%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
37%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
23%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.
ATH SP · vs. TB
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
35%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
18%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
8%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
3%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
29%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
4%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
38%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
26%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TB hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).
Park factors unavailable.
Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read
BetFly publishes sports predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial, investment, or wagering advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Must be 21+. Not available in all states.