SEATTLESEA
56-63 · +3 AL WEST · L4 · 3-7 L10
@2026-08-10NYY HOME PARK
66-52 · +2 AL EAST · L1 · 5-5 L10
NEW YORKNYY
Weather
75°F · 4mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA NYY

Game Markets

SEA @ NYY · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

NYY F5

44%

Game Total

Over 8.5

45%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

NYY -1.5

37%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

39%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

41%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.32 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: SEA 4.08, NYY 4.24
  • Bryan Woo (SEA) vs Ryan Weathers (NYY)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BW

Bryan Woo

SEA SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

66%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

9%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

93%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

58%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.5 strikeouts
  • 66% to reach 5+ against NYY
RW

Ryan Weathers

NYY SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

82%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

49%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

19%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

52%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

57%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

43%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.5 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.5 strikeouts
  • 82% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

NYY vs LHP (team)OPS.724K%24.9%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.698K%22.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

NYY BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 0·NYY 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 1·NYY 2
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
65%NYY
SEA 38 · NYY 71 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-04-01NYY 5-3
2026-04-01NYY 5-0
2026-03-31SEA 2-1 · Pitchers duel
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA47¢ · 47%
NYY57¢ · 57%
Total 8
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5 ·
NYY +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.588.58last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.285L15 team wOBA
-31 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

NYY OFFENSE

.281L15 team wOBA
-35 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT75° · 4mph out to CF
YANKEE STADIUM
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Short porch — LH HR heaven.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
75°F
Wind4 mph out to CF
Humidity85%
Rain50%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

YANKEES 55%

Mean score sim 4.14.2 · projected total 8.3 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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