BETFLYAISIGN IN
HOUSTONHOU
60-59 · +1 AL WEST · L2 · 6-4 L10
@MON 9:45 PM ETSF HOME PARK
49-69 · +4 NL WEST · L2 · 3-7 L10
SAN FRANCISCOSF
Weather
63°F · 11mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Hayden Wesneski
RHP · HOUPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.86
IP
11.2
K/9
6.2
BB/9
3.1
WHIP
1.29
L5 STARTS4.02 ERA · 16.7% K · 8.3% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Blade Tidwell
RHP · SFPROBABLE
STUFF+113
ERA
3.18
IP
17.0
K/9
6.9
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
1.18
L5 STARTS3.27 ERA · 17% K · 6.4% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
42%
41%
4-Seam FastballSweeper
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAstros 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

HOU SF

Game Markets

HOU @ SF · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

HOU to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

SF F5

38%

Game Total

Over 8.5

34%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

39%

Run Line

SF -1.5

28%

Team Total

HOU Over 4.5

37%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

28%

THE READ

HOU projects to outscore SF by 0.63 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: HOU 3.95, SF 3.32
  • Hayden Wesneski (HOU) vs Blade Tidwell (SF)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
HW

Hayden Wesneski

HOU SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

67%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

6%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

44%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

29%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 4.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 4.0 strikeouts
  • 37% to reach 5+ against SF
BT

Blade Tidwell

SF SP · vs. HOU

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

71%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

33%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 28% to reach 5+ against HOU

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

HAYDEN WESNESKI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%22.6%OPS-against.819
vs Left-handedK%5.9%OPS-against.527
SF vs RHP (team)OPS.731K%20.2%

BLADE TIDWELL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how HOU hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%28.1%OPS-against.382
vs Left-handedK%10.8%OPS-against.860
HOU vs RHP (team)OPS.744K%21.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SF BATTERS vs HAYDEN WESNESKI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

HOU BATTERS vs BLADE TIDWELL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
HOU 0·SF 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
HOU 0·SF 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
62%SF
HOU 18 · SF 30 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-04-02SF 6-3
2025-04-02SF 3-1
2025-04-01SF 7-2
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
HOU61¢ · 61%
SF43¢ · 43%
Total 8
Over50¢ · 50%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
HOU -1.5— · —
SF +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→8.5→8→8.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

HOU OFFENSE

.334L15 team wOBA
+18 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

SF OFFENSE

.282L15 team wOBA
-34 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT63° · 11mph out to CF
ORACLE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.90 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Marine air kills carry to RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
63°F
Wind11 mph out to CF
Humidity80%
Rain1%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO