CINCINNATICIN
56-61 · +5 NL CENTRAL · L3 · 6-4 L10
@2026-08-10CWS HOME PARK
61-56 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W2 · 5-5 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
75°F · 6mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETWhite Sox 58%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CIN CWS

Game Markets

CIN @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

58%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

54%

Game Total

Over 8.5

57%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

58%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

41%

Team Total

CIN Over 4.5

44%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

53%

THE READ

CWS projects to outscore CIN by 0.62 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CIN 4.54, CWS 5.16
  • Nick Lodolo (CIN) vs Sean Burke (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
NL

Nick Lodolo

CIN SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

56%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

8%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

63%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

49%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.4 strikeouts
  • 26% to reach 5+ against CWS
SB

Sean Burke

CWS SP · vs. CIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

69%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

52%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

10%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

76%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

36%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.7 strikeouts
  • 69% to reach 5+ against CIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.713K%24.6%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CIN vs RHP (team)OPS.695K%25.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CIN BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CIN 0·CWS 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CIN 2·CWS 0
2 played · 17 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%CWS
CIN 26 · CWS 30 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-03-22CIN 11-7 · Slugfest
2026-02-25CIN 3-2 · One-run game
2025-05-15CIN 7-1 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CIN42¢ · 42%
CWS62¢ · 62%
Total 8
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
CIN -1.5 ·
CWS +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT88.58last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

CIN OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CWS OFFENSE

.300L15 team wOBA
-16 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT75° · 6mph out to LF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
75°F
Wind6 mph out to LF
Humidity94%
Rain27%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

WHITE SOX 58%

Mean score sim 4.55.2 · projected total 9.7 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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