LOS ANGELESLAD
70-47 · +1 NL WEST · W1 · 3-7 L10
@2026-08-09ARI HOME PARK
ARIZONAARI
Weather
110°F · 10mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS2 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Justin Wrobleski · Over 3.5 4+ Ks

punch-out artist with the right matchup

-158 FanDuel61% book83% +22pp

Eduardo Rodriguez · Over 3.5 4+ Ks

punch-out artist with the right matchup

-154 FanDuel61% book67% +7pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAD ARI

Game Markets

LAD @ ARI · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

ARI F5

40%

Game Total

Over 8.5

54%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

58%

Run Line

ARI -1.5

32%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

50%

Team Total

ARI Over 4.5

44%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore ARI by 0.52 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 4.98, ARI 4.45
  • Justin Wrobleski (LAD) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JW

Justin Wrobleski

LAD SP · vs. ARI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

86%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

53%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

71%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

58%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.5 strikeouts
  • 25% to reach 5+ against ARI
ER

Eduardo Rodriguez

ARI SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

93%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

73%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

60%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.4 strikeouts
  • 24% to reach 5+ against LAD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

ARI vs LHP (team)OPS.781K%17.2%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAD vs RHP (team)OPS.774K%20.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

ARI BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 1·ARI 0
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 8·ARI 0
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
100%LAD
LAD 191 · ARI 0 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-09LAD 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-08-08AZ 4-3 · One-run game
2026-07-12AZ 5-3
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAD59¢ · 59%
ARI45¢ · 45%
Total 9
Over56¢ · 56%
Under49¢ · 49%
Run line ±1.5
LAD -1.5 ·
ARI +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.588.578.59last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

ARI OFFENSE

.304L15 team wOBA
-12 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT110° · 10mph out to RF
CHASE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.02 · neutral
Doubles factor1.05 · +

Slight offensive tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
110°F
Wind10 mph out to RF
Humidity18%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

DODGERS 53%

Mean score sim 5.04.5 · projected total 9.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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