CINCINNATICIN
56-60 · +5 NL CENTRAL · L2 · 6-4 L10
@SUN 12:15 PM ETWSH HOME PARK
58-61 · +4 NL EAST · W2 · 3-7 L10
WASHINGTONWSH
Weather
90°F · 7mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Brady Singer
RHP · CINPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
4.67
IP
113.2
K/9
7.7
BB/9
3.1
WHIP
1.43
L5 STARTS3.85 ERA · 20.2% K · 7% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
47%
30%
12%
SinkerSliderSweeperCutter
Brad Lord
RHP · WSHPROBABLE
STUFF+96
ERA
3.81
IP
59.0
K/9
7.9
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.20
L5 STARTS16.36 ERA · 18.2% K · 15.9% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
23%
21%
14%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSliderSweeperChangeup
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETNationals 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CIN WSH

Game Markets

CIN @ WSH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CIN to win

48%

1st 5 Innings

WSH F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

60%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

60%

Run Line

WSH -1.5

36%

Team Total

CIN Over 4.5

50%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

51%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 10.03 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: CIN 5.03, WSH 5.00
  • Brady Singer (CIN) vs Brad Lord (WSH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BS

Brady Singer

CIN SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

73%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

37%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

67%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 48% to reach 5+ against WSH
BL

Brad Lord

WSH SP · vs. CIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

37%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

9%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

50%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

37%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.1 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.1 strikeouts
  • 19% to reach 5+ against CIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRADY SINGER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.8%OPS-against.718
vs Left-handedK%21.8%OPS-against.846
WSH vs RHP (team)OPS.759K%20.6%

BRAD LORD SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%19.8%OPS-against.494
vs Left-handedK%21.7%OPS-against.817
CIN vs RHP (team)OPS.698K%25.4%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

WSH BATTERS vs BRADY SINGER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CIN BATTERS vs BRAD LORD

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CIN 0·WSH 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
CIN 1·WSH 4
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
58%WSH
CIN 45 · WSH 63 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-08WSH 8-2 · Blowout
2026-08-07WSH 5-3
2026-05-14CIN 15-1 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CIN52¢ · 52%
WSH51¢ · 51%
Total 9.5
Over50¢ · 50%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
CIN -1.5 ·
WSH +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.510.59.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

CIN OFFENSE

.304L15 team wOBA
-12 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

WSH OFFENSE

.324L15 team wOBA
+8 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT90° · 7mph out to RF
NATIONALS PARK
102HR
HR factor1.02 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
90°F
Wind7 mph out to RF
Humidity51%
Rain1%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO