BETFLYAISIGN IN
MINNESOTAMIN
58-59 · +2 AL CENTRAL · W2 · 5-5 L10
@SAT 7:10 PM ETMIL HOME PARK
72-44 · +1 NL CENTRAL · L1 · 6-4 L10
MILWAUKEEMIL
Weather
84°F · 5mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Taj Bradley
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
3.69
IP
126.2
K/9
10.0
BB/9
3.8
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS3.77 ERA · 22.3% K · 11.5% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
47%
24%
20%
9%
4-Seam FastballCutterSplit-FingerCurveball
Robert Gasser
LHP · MILPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
4.48
IP
62.1
K/9
8.4
BB/9
2.3
WHIP
1.17
L5 STARTS4.47 ERA · 20.2% K · 2.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
28%
26%
23%
16%
SweeperSinker4-Seam FastballCutterChangeup
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBrewers 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN MIL

Game Markets

MIN @ MIL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

MIL F5

42%

Game Total

Over 8.5

45%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

49%

Run Line

MIL -1.5

35%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

40%

Team Total

MIL Over 4.5

40%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.34 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: MIN 4.19, MIL 4.15
  • Taj Bradley (MIN) vs Robert Gasser (MIL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TB

Taj Bradley

MIN SP · vs. MIL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

82%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

66%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

19%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

93%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

57%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.5 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.5 strikeouts
  • 82% to reach 5+ against MIL
RG

Robert Gasser

MIL SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

38%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

59%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

34%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.1 strikeouts
  • 38% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TAJ BRADLEY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIL hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%23.7%OPS-against.683
vs Left-handedK%28.3%OPS-against.664
MIL vs LHP (team)OPS.686K%21.2%

ROBERT GASSER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%20.2%OPS-against.771
vs Left-handedK%26.3%OPS-against.659
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.743K%21.0%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

MIL BATTERS vs TAJ BRADLEY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs ROBERT GASSER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 1·MIL 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIN 2·MIL 2
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%MIL
MIN 40 · MIL 44 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-07MIN 8-6
2026-05-17MIN 5-4 · One-run game
2026-05-16MIL 2-1 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIN44¢ · 44%
MIL60¢ · 60%
Total 8
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
MIN -1.5— · —
MIL +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.288L15 team wOBA
-28 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

MIL OFFENSE

.324L15 team wOBA
+8 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT84° · 5mph out to RF
AMERICAN FAMILY FIELD
108HR
HR factor1.08 · +
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

HR-friendly with roof closed.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
84°F
Wind5 mph out to RF
Humidity36%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO