Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Landen Roupp · Under 17.5 <18 Outs
walk-prone, opp lineup turns pitch counts ugly
Dillon Dingler · Over 0.5 1+ RBIs
L30 RBI pace + matchup
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
DET @ SF · full-game reads
Moneyline
DET to win
51%
1st 5 Innings
SF F5
39%
Game Total
Over 8.5
45%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
47%
Run Line
SF -1.5
31%
Team Total
DET Over 4.5
42%
Team Total
SF Over 4.5
37%
THE READ
DET projects to outscore SF by 0.42 runs across 5,000 trials.
DET SP · vs. SF
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
66%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
48%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
31%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
17%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
8%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
98%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
80%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
70%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
55%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.5 Ks.
SF SP · vs. DET
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
34%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
17%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
7%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
3%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
98%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
50%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
68%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
54%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Marine air kills carry to RCF.
Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.
Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.
Mean score sim 4.4–4.0 · projected total 8.3 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
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