Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
ATH @ BOS · full-game reads
Moneyline
BOS to win
54%
1st 5 Innings
BOS F5
45%
Game Total
Over 8.5
45%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
44%
Run Line
BOS -1.5
36%
Team Total
ATH Over 4.5
39%
Team Total
BOS Over 4.5
41%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 8.33 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
ATH SP · vs. BOS
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
70%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
54%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
37%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
23%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
13%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
53%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
18%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
45%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
32%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.9 Ks.
BOS SP · vs. ATH
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
78%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
60%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
43%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
27%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
15%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
85%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
44%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
56%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
42%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how BOS hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).
Doubles factory (Green Monster).
Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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