BETFLYAISIGN IN
WASHINGTONWSH
56-60 · +4 NL EAST · W1 · 2-8 L10
@THU 6:05 PM ETPHI HOME PARK
61-54 · +2 NL EAST · L1 · 5-5 L10
PHILADELPHIAPHI
Weather
90°F · 10mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 1-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Miles Mikolas
RHP · WSHPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
5.67
IP
108.0
K/9
4.6
BB/9
1.8
WHIP
1.35
L5 STARTS6.59 ERA · 7.6% K · 4.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
25%
22%
14%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSliderCurveballChangeupSweeper
Cristopher Sánchez
LHP · PHIPROBABLE
STUFF+118
ERA
2.61
IP
144.2
K/9
10.4
BB/9
2.0
WHIP
1.20
L5 STARTS5.29 ERA · 25% K · 7.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
42%
39%
19%
SinkerChangeupSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETPhillies 74%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

WSH PHI

Game Markets

WSH @ PHI · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

PHI to win

74%

1st 5 Innings

PHI F5

64%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

PHI -1.5

57%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

29%

Team Total

PHI Over 4.5

60%

THE READ

PHI projects to outscore WSH by 2.33 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: WSH 3.40, PHI 5.74
  • Miles Mikolas (WSH) vs Cristopher Sánchez (PHI)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MM

Miles Mikolas

WSH SP · vs. PHI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

83%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

50%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

82%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

71%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.4 strikeouts
  • 9% to reach 5+ against PHI
CS

Cristopher Sánchez

PHI SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

92%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

84%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

73%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

59%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

45%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

88%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

63%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

52%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

37%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.2 strikeouts
  • 92% to reach 5+ against WSH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

MILES MIKOLAS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PHI hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%12.1%OPS-against.841
vs Left-handedK%11.7%OPS-against.828
PHI vs LHP (team)OPS.693K%23.6%

CRISTOPHER SÁNCHEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.7%OPS-against.763
vs Left-handedK%37.9%OPS-against.321
WSH vs RHP (team)OPS.760K%20.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

PHI BATTERS vs MILES MIKOLAS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

WSH BATTERS vs CRISTOPHER SÁNCHEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
WSH 1·PHI 2
4-game set · gm 4 of 4
2026 SEASON
WSH 4·PHI 8
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%PHI
WSH 144 · PHI 155 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-05WSH 10-4 · Blowout
2026-08-04PHI 5-0
2026-08-03PHI 6-3
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
WSH27¢ · 27%
PHI77¢ · 77%
Total 8.5
Over54¢ · 54%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
WSH -1.5— · —
PHI +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT9.5→8.5→12.5→11.5→12.5→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

WSH OFFENSE

.328L15 team wOBA
+12 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

PHI OFFENSE

.315L15 team wOBA
-1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT90° · 10mph out to CF
CITIZENS BANK PARK
110HR
HR factor1.10 · +
Runs factor1.02 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

HR-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
90°F
Wind10 mph out to CF
Humidity57%
Rain3%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO