TAMPA BAYTB
68-46 · +1 AL EAST · W3 · 7-3 L10
@2026-08-06SEA HOME PARK
56-60 · +3 AL WEST · L1 · 4-6 L10
SEATTLESEA
Weather
83°F · 7mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRays 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TB SEA

Game Markets

TB @ SEA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TB to win

51%

1st 5 Innings

SEA F5

38%

Game Total

Over 8.5

25%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

29%

Run Line

SEA -1.5

30%

Team Total

TB Over 4.5

28%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

25%

THE READ

TB projects to outscore SEA by 0.26 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: TB 3.35, SEA 3.09
  • Drew Rasmussen (TB) vs Logan Gilbert (SEA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DR

Drew Rasmussen

TB SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

62%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

43%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

72%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

23%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

41%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

28%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.2 strikeouts
  • 62% to reach 5+ against SEA
LG

Logan Gilbert

SEA SP · vs. TB

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

93%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

84%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

69%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

53%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

37%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

100%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

92%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

57%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

42%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.8 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.8 strikeouts
  • 93% to reach 5+ against TB

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SEA vs LHP (team)OPS.646K%23.7%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TB hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

TB vs RHP (team)OPS.755K%19.4%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

SEA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TB BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TB 0·SEA 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
TB 2·SEA 1
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
51%SEA
TB 54 · SEA 56 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-12SEA 8-2 · Blowout
2026-07-11TB 6-1
2026-07-10TB 7-2
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
TB50¢ · 50%
SEA53¢ · 53%
Total 7
Over53¢ · 53%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
TB -1.5 ·
SEA +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

TB OFFENSE

.294L15 team wOBA
-22 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

SEA OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT83° · 7mph out to RF
T-MOBILE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Notorious pitcher park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
83°F
Wind7 mph out to RF
Humidity44%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

RAYS 51%

Mean score sim 3.43.1 · projected total 6.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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