LOS ANGELESLAA
44-71 · +5 AL WEST · W1 · 3-7 L10
@2026-08-06MIA HOME PARK
58-57 · +3 NL EAST · L2 · 6-4 L10
MIAMIMIA
Weather
83°F · 7mph in from CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMarlins 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAA MIA

Game Markets

LAA @ MIA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIA to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

MIA F5

53%

Game Total

Over 8.5

58%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

61%

Run Line

MIA -1.5

41%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

46%

Team Total

MIA Over 4.5

53%

THE READ

MIA projects to outscore LAA by 0.67 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAA 4.67, MIA 5.34
  • George Klassen (LAA) vs Tyler Phillips (MIA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GK

George Klassen

LAA SP · vs. MIA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

33%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

9%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

23%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

14%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.8 strikeouts
  • 33% to reach 5+ against MIA
TP

Tyler Phillips

MIA SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

55%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

79%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

71%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

57%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.9 strikeouts
  • 55% to reach 5+ against LAA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIA hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

MIA vs LHP (team)OPS.705K%23.4%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAA vs RHP (team)OPS.688K%24.9%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

MIA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAA 0·MIA 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAA 0·MIA 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
57%LAA
LAA 12 · MIA 9 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-05-25MIA 3-0 · Pitchers duel
2025-05-25MIA 6-2
2025-05-24LAA 7-4
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAA41¢ · 41%
MIA62¢ · 62%
Total 9
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
LAA -1.5 ·
MIA +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

LAA OFFENSE

.275L15 team wOBA
-41 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

MIA OFFENSE

.280L15 team wOBA
-36 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT83° · 7mph in from CF
LOANDEPOT PARK
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Cavernous OF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
83°F
Wind7 mph in from CF
Humidity83%
Rain5%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

MARLINS 57%

Mean score sim 4.75.3 · projected total 10.0 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

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