COLORADOCOL
45-70 · +5 NL WEST · L3 · 3-7 L10
@2026-08-06STL HOME PARK
57-58 · +3 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 4-6 L10
ST. LOUISSTL
Weather
72°F · 4mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETCardinals 59%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL STL

Game Markets

COL @ STL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

STL to win

59%

1st 5 Innings

STL F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

61%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

62%

Run Line

STL -1.5

42%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

47%

Team Total

STL Over 4.5

57%

THE READ

STL projects to outscore COL by 0.70 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 4.70, STL 5.40
  • Ryan Feltner (COL) vs Kyle Leahy (STL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
RF

Ryan Feltner

COL SP · vs. STL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

54%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

9%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

61%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.5 strikeouts
  • 27% to reach 5+ against STL
KL

Kyle Leahy

STL SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

64%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

32%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

46%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 32% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how STL hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

STL vs LHP (team)OPS.690K%18.2%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

COL vs RHP (team)OPS.760K%21.8%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

STL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·STL 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 0·STL 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
62%STL
COL 37 · STL 61 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-08-13COL 6-5 · One-run game
2025-08-12COL 3-0 · Pitchers duel
2025-08-11STL 3-2 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL43¢ · 43%
STL60¢ · 60%
Total 8.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5 ·
STL +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.308L15 team wOBA
-8 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

STL OFFENSE

.277L15 team wOBA
-39 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT72° · 4mph out to LF
BUSCH STADIUM
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
72°F
Wind4 mph out to LF
Humidity90%
Rain20%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

CARDINALS 59%

Mean score sim 4.75.4 · projected total 10.1 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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