CLEVELANDCLE
57-59 · +2 AL CENTRAL · L3 · 3-7 L10
@2026-08-06CWS HOME PARK
59-54 · +1 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 5-5 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
76°F · 7mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 62%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CLE CWS

Game Markets

CLE @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

62%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

32%

Game Total

Over 8.5

55%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

56%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

24%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

56%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

37%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore CWS by 1.60 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CLE 5.52, CWS 3.92
  • Parker Messick (CLE) vs Noah Schultz (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
PM

Parker Messick

CLE SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

8%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

83%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

54%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

62%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

49%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.3 strikeouts
  • 63% to reach 5+ against CWS
NS

Noah Schultz

CWS SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

22%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

37%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 17% to reach 5+ against CLE

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.709K%24.7%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CLE vs RHP (team)OPS.690K%21.9%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CLE BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CLE 0·CWS 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CLE 4·CWS 5
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
57%CLE
CLE 186 · CWS 140 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-05CWS 7-6 · One-run game
2026-07-04CWS 3-1
2026-07-03CLE 4-3 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CLE55¢ · 55%
CWS48¢ · 48%
Total 8.5
Over50¢ · 50%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
CLE -1.5 ·
CWS +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

CLE OFFENSE

.277L15 team wOBA
-39 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CWS OFFENSE

.281L15 team wOBA
-35 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT76° · 7mph out to LF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
76°F
Wind7 mph out to LF
Humidity91%
Rain6%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

GUARDIANS 62%

Mean score sim 5.53.9 · projected total 9.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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