Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Justin Foscue · Over 0.5 1+ RBIs
lineup spot does the work — RBIs come
Jake Burger · Over 0.5 1+ RBIs
middle-order + runners-on profile
Ezequiel Duran · Over 0.5 1+ Runs
on-base rate + supporting cast = runs
Ezequiel Duran · Over 0.5 1+ RBIs
middle-order grinder running hot
Brandon Nimmo · Over 0.5 1+ Runs
OBP edge + ballpark + lineup
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
169 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 21
SF @ TEX · full-game reads
Moneyline
TEX to win
56%
1st 5 Innings
TEX F5
51%
Game Total
Over 8.5
46%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
52%
Run Line
TEX -1.5
38%
Team Total
SF Over 4.5
38%
Team Total
TEX Over 4.5
44%
THE READ
TEX projects to outscore SF by 0.43 runs across 5,000 trials.
SF SP · vs. TEX
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
51%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
33%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
18%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
9%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
4%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
38%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
9%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
44%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
30%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.
TEX SP · vs. SF
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
42%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
25%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
13%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
2%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
15%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
2%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
25%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
15%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.
SF · bats L · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
22%
Hits
1+ hits
66%
Hits
2+ hits
24%
Total Bases
2+ bases
45%
Total Bases
3+ bases
30%
Total Bases
4+ bases
25%
RBIs
1+ RBI
37%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
17%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 22% against 14% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
TEX · bats L · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
19%
Hits
1+ hits
72%
Hits
2+ hits
32%
Total Bases
2+ bases
50%
Total Bases
3+ bases
33%
Total Bases
4+ bases
25%
RBIs
1+ RBI
39%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
17%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 32% against 21% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
TEX · bats R · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
21%
Hits
1+ hits
67%
Hits
2+ hits
27%
Total Bases
2+ bases
45%
Total Bases
3+ bases
30%
Total Bases
4+ bases
24%
RBIs
1+ RBI
34%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
14%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 21% against 14% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
TEX · bats R · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
20%
Hits
1+ hits
64%
Hits
2+ hits
23%
Total Bases
2+ bases
41%
Total Bases
3+ bases
28%
Total Bases
4+ bases
23%
RBIs
1+ RBI
37%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
17%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 17% against 11% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SF · bats L · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
70%
Hits
2+ hits
30%
Total Bases
2+ bases
42%
Total Bases
3+ bases
25%
Total Bases
4+ bases
15%
RBIs
1+ RBI
26%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
9%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 30% against 21% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SF · bats R · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
19%
Hits
1+ hits
62%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
41%
Total Bases
3+ bases
28%
Total Bases
4+ bases
22%
RBIs
1+ RBI
34%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
15%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 19% against 14% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SF · bats L · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
17%
Hits
1+ hits
65%
Hits
2+ hits
25%
Total Bases
2+ bases
42%
Total Bases
3+ bases
27%
Total Bases
4+ bases
21%
RBIs
1+ RBI
31%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
12%
THE READ
Stands out most on 4+ bases — 21% against 17% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
TEX · bats R · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
16%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
18%
Total Bases
2+ bases
36%
Total Bases
3+ bases
23%
Total Bases
4+ bases
19%
RBIs
1+ RBI
30%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
12%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 16% against 14% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
TEX · bats R · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
16%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
20%
Total Bases
2+ bases
36%
Total Bases
3+ bases
23%
Total Bases
4+ bases
18%
RBIs
1+ RBI
31%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 13% against 11% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
TEX · bats R · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
13%
Hits
1+ hits
63%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
36%
Total Bases
3+ bases
21%
Total Bases
4+ bases
16%
RBIs
1+ RBI
29%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 22% against 21% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SF · bats R · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
12%
Hits
1+ hits
59%
Hits
2+ hits
19%
Total Bases
2+ bases
34%
Total Bases
3+ bases
20%
Total Bases
4+ bases
14%
RBIs
1+ RBI
28%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 59%.
TEX · bats R · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
13%
Hits
1+ hits
58%
Hits
2+ hits
18%
Total Bases
2+ bases
34%
Total Bases
3+ bases
20%
Total Bases
4+ bases
15%
RBIs
1+ RBI
26%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 58%.
TEX · bats L · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
6%
Hits
1+ hits
56%
Hits
2+ hits
17%
Total Bases
2+ bases
25%
Total Bases
3+ bases
12%
Total Bases
4+ bases
7%
RBIs
1+ RBI
19%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
5%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 56% against 60%.
SF · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
56%
Hits
2+ hits
18%
Total Bases
2+ bases
31%
Total Bases
3+ bases
18%
Total Bases
4+ bases
12%
RBIs
1+ RBI
24%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
9%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 56% against 60%.
SF · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
54%
Hits
2+ hits
15%
Total Bases
2+ bases
28%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
23%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 54% against 60%.
SF · bats L · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
7%
Hits
1+ hits
53%
Hits
2+ hits
16%
Total Bases
2+ bases
28%
Total Bases
3+ bases
15%
Total Bases
4+ bases
10%
RBIs
1+ RBI
23%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 53% against 60%.
SF · bats L · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
51%
Hits
2+ hits
14%
Total Bases
2+ bases
28%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
22%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 51% against 60%.
TEX · bats L · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
48%
Hits
2+ hits
12%
Total Bases
2+ bases
25%
Total Bases
3+ bases
15%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
23%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ RBI at 23% against 29%.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits LHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Neutral with roof.
Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.
Low sample size — no strong tendency signal.
Mean score sim 4.0–4.5 · projected total 8.5 runs · built on locked lineups
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