BETFLYAISIGN IN
MINNESOTAMIN
56-58 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L3 · 5-5 L10
@WED 7:40 PM ETKC HOME PARK
47-67 · +5 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 4-6 L10
KANSAS CITYKC
Weather
82°F · 8mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Dean Kremer
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+88
ERA
6.50
IP
36.0
K/9
9.5
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.36
L5 STARTS7.56 ERA · 20% K · 8.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
39%
21%
Split-Finger4-Seam Fastball
Noah Cameron
LHP · KCPROBABLE
STUFF+96
ERA
4.59
IP
115.2
K/9
8.3
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.34
L5 STARTS3.66 ERA · 24.8% K · 10.9% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
29%
21%
20%
17%
10%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCutterCurveballSliderSinker
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRoyals 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN KC

Game Markets

MIN @ KC · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

KC F5

44%

Game Total

Over 8.5

50%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

KC -1.5

34%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

45%

Team Total

KC Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.95 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: MIN 4.58, KC 4.37
  • Dean Kremer (MIN) vs Noah Cameron (KC)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DK

Dean Kremer

MIN SP · vs. KC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

50%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

52%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

15%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

38%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.6 strikeouts
  • 50% to reach 5+ against KC
NC

Noah Cameron

KC SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

59%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

41%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

77%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

48%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

62%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

48%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.1 strikeouts
  • 59% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

DEAN KREMER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how KC hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%29.0%OPS-against.842
vs Left-handedK%22.0%OPS-against.963
KC vs LHP (team)OPS.702K%21.2%

NOAH CAMERON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%21.0%OPS-against.716
vs Left-handedK%23.0%OPS-against.801
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.745K%21.1%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

KC BATTERS vs DEAN KREMER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs NOAH CAMERON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 0·KC 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIN 4·KC 7
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
50%MIN
MIN 146 · KC 144 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-04KC 8-2 · Blowout
2026-07-30MIN 4-3 · One-run game
2026-07-29KC 4-0
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIN50¢ · 50%
KC53¢ · 53%
Total 9
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
MIN -1.5— · —
KC +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT9→9.5→9last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.284L15 team wOBA
-33 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

KC OFFENSE

.295L15 team wOBA
-21 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT82° · 8mph out to LF
KAUFFMAN STADIUM
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Big OF — triples up, HR down.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
82°F
Wind8 mph out to LF
Humidity68%
Rain13%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO